Football
UEFA Europa League UEFA Europa League
· League Stage - 1
Sunderland

Sunderland

1–0

Full Time

AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar

🏟 Stadium of Light, Sunderland
🟡 Jeremie Pignard, France
📋 League Stage - 1
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Draw

3-Way Result

75%

confidence

Odds: 1.33 calculated High Risk

Even though all comparison metrics (form, att, def, poisson, h2h, and goals) are at 0% and no H2H matches exist, the season stats show both teams have a 0.0 goals average and no wins or losses, suggesting an evenly balanced contest. Sunderland and AZ Alkmaar each have 0% in recent form and attack/defense metrics, which supports the notion of a stalemate. With both sides reporting 0 goals in their last 5 matches, a draw appears plausible despite data limitations. This choice is further supported by the overall equilibrium in team performance. I am conservatively assigning a 75% probability to a draw. The fallback bookmaker odds for this outcome are 1.33. Given the absence of conflicting data, drawing the match becomes the most reasonable prediction even though the risk remains high due to sparse data.

Best Value

Under 2.5

Goals Over/Under

Among all the markets, the Under 2.5 Goals option stands out because both teams have a season average of 0.0 goals and have recorded 0 goals in their last 5 matches. The comparison metrics and H2H data are uniformly 0%, reinforcing the low scoring likelihood. This decisive pattern of nil offensive output across all metrics drives the confidence to 95% for an Under 2.5 outcome. With fallback odds of 1.05, the value edge is significant, earning a value rating of 5 – indicating a simulated 30%+ edge. Such convergence of evidence minimizes the risk despite the overall data scarcity. Therefore, Under 2.5 Goals is the best optimal pick for this match.

95%

prob.

1.05

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Draw

Both teams have 0% form and 0.0 goals average.

75%

odds 1.33

Double Chance

Home Win or Draw

Both teams show 0% in form and 0 goals scored.

70%

odds 1.43

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Sunderland
Sunderland
WLWWW
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
WWWWW

Head to Head

16 Sept 26
Sunderland Sunderland
1–0
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
H

League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Juventus Juventus
1 1 3
2
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
1 1 3
3
Sparta Praha Sparta Praha
1 1 3
4
Beşiktaş Beşiktaş
1 1 3
5
Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise
1 1 3
6
Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC
1 1 3
7
Benfica Benfica
1 1 3
8
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
1 1 3
9
OFI OFI
1 1 3
10
Bournemouth Bournemouth
1 1 3
11
Lyon Lyon
1 1 3
12
Torreense Torreense
1 1 3
13
Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus
1 1 3
14
Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg
1 1 3
15
Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia
1 1 3
16
Sunderland Sunderland
1 1 3
17
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb
1 0 1
18
Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva
1 0 1
19
Rennes Rennes
1 0 1
20
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
1 0 1
21
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia
1 0 0
22
Anderlecht Anderlecht
1 0 0
23
Lillestrom Lillestrom
1 0 0
24
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
1 0 0
25
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
1 0 0
26
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
1 0 0
27
Levski Sofia Levski Sofia
1 0 0
28
Celtic Celtic
1 0 0
29
Celje Celje
1 0 0
30
1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim
1 0 0
31
AC Milan AC Milan
1 0 0
32
Marseille Marseille
1 0 0
33
Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia
1 0 0
34
Plzen Plzen
1 0 0
35
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan
1 0 0
36
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
1 0 0
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
🏀 🎾 🏈

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