Football
Cup Cup
· Round of 16
Kuressaare

Kuressaare

vs

Not Started

Saku Sporting

Saku Sporting

🏟 Kuressaare Linnastaadion, Kuressaare
📋 Round of 16
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

BTTS Yes

BTTS

90%

confidence

Odds: 1.11 calculated Low Risk

BTTS Yes emerges as the strongest pick given both teams have consistently scored; Kuressaare scored 13 goals in 2 games (6.5 per match) and Saku Sporting scored 9 in 2 (4.5 per match), with neither team failing to score in recent fixtures. Both teams’ last-5 records of 100% form ensure that scoring is almost a certainty, and season stats support this as they have maintained clean sheets in only one match each. This is further underscored by the league data showing 0 under results for 0.5 and 1.5 thresholds. Despite some conflicting Poisson values, the overall attacking form and scoring patterns converge strongly. The risk remains low as no team has been failing to score and the defense percentages in last 5 are 96% for both, meaning goals frequently occur. Thus, we assign this pick a high confidence probability of 90% with a fallback odd of 1.11.

Best Value

Home

Team to Score First

Team to Score First for Kuressaare offers value with a 30% edge as indicated by their stronger attacking metric of 59% compared to Saku Sporting’s 41%. Kuressaare’s home performance is bolstered by scoring early, evidenced by a 30% goal percentage in the 0-15 minute window. The match’s comparison metrics and season data showing a higher goal average at home (5.0 per match) converge to support this selection. Despite the Poisson anomaly, the consistency in their recent scoring form and undefeated record lends credibility. The risk is moderate yet the clear edge in attacking stats provides a compelling argument. We assign it an 80% probability with a fallback odd of 1.25 and a value rating of 5.

80%

prob.

1.25

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Home Win

Home attack 59% vs. away 41%

75%

odds 1.33

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Both teams 100% form in last 5

80%

odds 1.25

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Kuressaare
Kuressaare
No data
Saku Sporting
Saku Sporting
No data
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