Football
Australia Cup Australia Cup
· Quarter-finals
Lions

Lions

vs

Not Started

North Sunshine Eagles

North Sunshine Eagles

🏟 Lions Stadium, Brisbane
📋 Quarter-finals
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Lions Win

3-Way Result

80%

confidence

Odds: 1.25 bookmaker Medium Risk

Lions show a clear edge with an overall home advantage of 62.3% and an 82% Poisson distribution for home goals. Their season defense stands at 67% compared to North Sunshine Eagles’ 33%, and Lions have not failed to score this season. Multiple metrics including a 67% last‐5 form and 1.5 goal average support a home win. Although some figures are moderate, the convergence of these stats suggests a solid pick.

Best Value

Lions Win

3-Way Result

The data strongly back a Lions win, with 62.3% overall home advantage and an 82% chance from the Poisson model favoring the home side. Despite the bookmaker odds of 1.25 implying an 80% success rate, our convergence of season and defensive stats makes this pick attractive. However, the value edge is limited given the favourite pricing. In this scenario, the evidence converges to support the home win even if the margin over the implied probability is modest.

80%

prob.

1.25

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Lions Win

Overall home advantage of 62.3% and Poisson 82% for home.

80%

odds 1.25

Double Chance

Lions or Draw

Lions' home defense at 67% versus Eagles' 33%.

85%

odds 1.01

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Lions
Lions
WWLWW
North Sunshine Eagles
North Sunshine Eagles
No data

Betting Odds

Match Winner

Lions

1.33

Draw

4.75

North Sunshine Eagles

7.50

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.53

Under 2.5

2.38

Both Teams Score

Yes

1.83

No

1.83

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