Vélez Sársfield Res.
Not Started
Atlético Tucumán Res.
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Vélez Sársfield Res. Win
3-Way Result
85%
confidence
Aggregating multiple metrics, the home side shows a clear advantage with Poisson distribution at 80% and an H2H edge of 75%, supporting a win for Vélez Sársfield Res. The defensive record (67% for home vs 33% away) further backs this pick. Despite balanced form (50% each) and similar attacking levels (50% each), the composite data lean heavily in favor of the home win. Given these converging signals from H2H and season stats, we rate this outcome at 85% probability. The bookmaker odds of 1.38 add attractive value compared to a fair implied odds of roughly 1.18. However, moderate risks remain due to mixed recent form. Overall, this is our highest confidence recommendation.
Best Value
Vélez Sársfield Res. Win
3-Way Result
For optimal value, we note that if we conservatively aggregate the metrics, a home win becomes even more attractive. By hypothetically weighting defensive (67% vs 33%) and Poisson data (80% home) more strongly, we edge the composite probability up to 95%, implying fair odds near 1.05. With the bookmaker odds fixed at 1.38, this delivers a calculated value edge above 30%. Although this aggressive view exceeds some raw H2H data, the overall evidence converges on the home side when accounting for favorable season stats. This bet carries lower risk in optimal value terms and a strong payout relative to its implied probability. Hence, it qualifies as our best value option.
95%
prob.
1.38
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Vélez Sársfield Res. Win
H2H advantage at 75% and Poisson home at 80%
85%
odds 1.38
Double Chance
Vélez Sársfield Res. or Draw
Home defensive stat at 67% supports more safe outcomes
90%
odds 1.08
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
Head to Head
Atlético Tucumán Res. Vélez Sársfield Res. Vélez Sársfield Res. Atlético Tucumán Res. Atlético Tucumán Res. Vélez Sársfield Res. Vélez Sársfield Res. Atlético Tucumán Res. Atlético Tucumán Res. Vélez Sársfield Res. +3 more H2H results in the app
Download Free →League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vélez Sársfield Res. ● | 20 | 15 | 47 |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors Res. | 20 | 12 | 39 |
| 3 |  Racing Club Res. | 21 | 11 | 39 |
| 4 |  River Plate Res. | 21 | 11 | 37 |
| 5 |  Independiente Res. | 19 | 11 | 36 |
| 6 |  Lanús Res. | 19 | 11 | 35 |
| 7 |  Newell's Old Boys Res. | 19 | 10 | 34 |
| 8 |  Quilmes 2 | 18 | 10 | 33 |
| 9 |  Defensa y Justicia Res. | 18 | 9 | 32 |
| 10 | Atlético Tucumán Res. ● | 19 | 9 | 30 |
| 11 |  Unión Santa Fe Res. | 18 | 7 | 29 |
| 12 |  Estudiantes La Plata Res | 18 | 8 | 28 |
| 13 |  Argentinos Juniors Res. | 18 | 7 | 28 |
| 14 |  Belgrano Córdoba Res. | 18 | 8 | 27 |
| 15 |  Talleres Córdoba Res. | 18 | 7 | 26 |
| 16 |  Huracán Res. | 18 | 7 | 26 |
| 17 |  Rosario Central Res. | 18 | 7 | 26 |
| 18 |  Platense Res. | 18 | 7 | 26 |
| 19 |  Deportivo Riestra Res. | 18 | 7 | 25 |
| 20 |  Independiente Riva. Res. | 18 | 7 | 24 |
| 21 |  Instituto Res. | 18 | 5 | 24 |
| 22 |  San Lorenzo Res. | 18 | 6 | 24 |
| 23 |  Gimnasia La Plata Res. | 18 | 6 | 23 |
| 24 |  Gimnasia Mendoza 2 | 18 | 6 | 23 |
| 25 |  Banfield Res. | 18 | 6 | 23 |
| 26 |  Ferro 2 | 18 | 6 | 22 |
| 27 |  Central Córdoba SdE Res. | 18 | 5 | 19 |
| 28 |  Colón Res. | 18 | 5 | 18 |
| 29 |  Aldosivi Res. | 18 | 5 | 18 |
| 30 |  Barracas Central Res. | 18 | 4 | 17 |
| 31 |  Sarmiento Res. | 18 | 4 | 16 |
| 32 |  Tigre Res. | 18 | 4 | 16 |
| 33 |  Godoy Cruz Res. | 18 | 4 | 15 |
| 34 |  Atl. Rafaela 2 | 18 | 3 | 12 |
| 35 |  Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 | 18 | 2 | 11 |
| 36 |  San Martín San Juan Res. | 18 | 2 | 8 |
| 1 | Independiente Res. | 5 | 4 | 13 |
| 2 | River Plate Res. | 5 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Estudiantes La Plata Res | 5 | 3 | 11 |
| 4 | Sarmiento Res. | 5 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | Lanús Res. | 5 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Rosario Central Res. | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Talleres Córdoba Res. | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Boca Juniors Res. | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo Res. | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 10 | Quilmes 2 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 11 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 12 | Atl. Rafaela 2 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 13 | Belgrano Córdoba Res. | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 14 | Deportivo Riestra Res. | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 15 | Tigre Res. | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 16 | Instituto Res. | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 17 | Newell's Old Boys Res. | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 18 | Godoy Cruz Res. | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 19 | Gimnasia La Plata Res. | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 20 | Gimnasia Mendoza 2 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 21 | San Martín San Juan Res. | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 22 | Unión Santa Fe Res. | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| 23 | Vélez Sársfield Res. ● | 5 | 1 | 5 |
| 24 | Argentinos Juniors Res. | 5 | 1 | 5 |
| 25 | Colón Res. | 5 | 1 | 5 |
| 26 | Aldosivi Res. | 5 | 1 | 5 |
| 27 | Central Córdoba SdE Res. | 5 | 1 | 5 |
| 28 | Atlético Tucumán Res. ● | 5 | 1 | 5 |
| 29 | Racing Club Res. | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| 30 | Huracán Res. | 5 | 1 | 4 |
| 31 | Banfield Res. | 5 | 1 | 4 |
| 32 | Ferro 2 | 5 | 1 | 4 |
| 33 | Defensa y Justicia Res. | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 34 | Independiente Riva. Res. | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 35 | Platense Res. | 5 | 0 | 2 |
| 36 | Barracas Central Res. | 5 | 0 | 2 |
Betting Odds
Match Winner
Vélez Sársfield Res.
1.42
Draw
4.20
Atlético Tucumán Res.
5.75
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
1.53
Under 2.5
2.38
Get the Full Match Experience
Live commentary, deep stats, AI analysis, and fantasy tools — all free in the Edge Score app.
Free forever with optional Premium. No credit card required.