Football
Pro League Pro League
· Regular Season - 6
Al-Nassr

Al-Nassr

2–1

Full Time

Abha

Abha

🏟 Al-Awwal Park, Riyadh
🟡 Shukri Alhunfush, Saudi Arabia
📋 Regular Season - 6
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Home Win

3-Way Result

93%

confidence

Odds: 1.08 calculated Low Risk

The data strongly supports an Al-Nassr home win with a 92% form advantage at home and a 95% Poisson expectation, while H2H again favors the home team at 93%. Multiple independent metrics including 75% attacking strength and 77% defensive solidity back this outcome. Season stats show Al-Nassr scoring an average of 3.0 goals and not failing to score, consolidating the home win prediction. There is minimal risk given the overwhelming comparison figures and H2H trends. The confidence is high at 93% with converging evidence from at least three independent sources.

Best Value

Over 2.5

Goals Over/Under

There is notable value in betting Over 2.5 goals with an 85% probability, given Al-Nassr’s season average of 3.0 goals and a clear 82% edge in scoring from the comparison metrics. The H2H evidence shows several high scoring fixtures and the attacking stats further underpin a high over goal market. Additionally, Abha’s low attacking output of just 31% in recent games raises the value edge for a high scoring contest led by Al-Nassr. This option converges across season benchmarks, comparison metrics, and H2H trends, despite a moderately higher risk level. The value rating is high with an estimated edge of 30% or above.

85%

prob.

1.18

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Home Win

Home form at 92% with Poisson at 95%

93%

odds 1.08

Double Chance

Home Win or Draw

Home advantage with 92% form and 95% Poisson

98%

odds 1.02

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Al-Nassr
Al-Nassr
WWWWL
Abha
Abha
LLLDL

Current Standings

3
Al-Nassr
Al-Nassr
7 P 5 W 16 Pts
18
Abha
Abha
7 P 0 W 2 Pts

Head to Head

9 Sept 26
Al-Nassr Al-Nassr
2–1
Abha Abha
H
2 Apr 24
Abha Abha
0–8
Al-Nassr Al-Nassr
A
6 Oct 23
Al-Nassr Al-Nassr
2–2
Abha Abha
D
18 Mar 23
Al-Nassr Al-Nassr
2–1
Abha Abha
H
14 Mar 23
Al-Nassr Al-Nassr
3–1
Abha Abha
H

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