Football
Non League Premier - Northern Non League Premier - Northern
· Regular Season - 6
Ashton United

Ashton United

vs

Not Started

Ilkeston Town

Ilkeston Town

📋 Regular Season - 6
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Ashton United or Draw

Double Chance

90%

confidence

Odds: 1.25 bookmaker Low Risk

The safest market is the Double Chance, as Ashton United’s home form of 63% combined with a strong overall performance (68.7% total league advantage) supports a 90% probability. H2H data also tilt in favor with a 62% home edge reinforcing this pick. This outcome reduces risk while covering potential draws and benefits from home side consistency. The bookmaker odds of 1.25 for 'Ashton United or Draw' further validate its reliability. Multiple independent metrics converge for this option, although a minor risk remains from occasional surprises.

Best Value

Ashton United Win

3-Way Result

The best value option is a 3-Way Result predicting an Ashton United win, supported by an 85% probability. Key comparison metrics include an 89% Poisson home probability and a 62% H2H edge, which together justify a strong bias towards the home win. The implied bookmaker probability from odds of 1.90 is roughly 52.6%, offering an approximate 32.4% value edge. This convergence of metrics provides a compelling risk/reward balance. While the risk remains present, the significant edge makes this option optimal.

85%

prob.

1.9

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Ashton United Win

Poisson home 89% vs away 11%

85%

odds 1.9

Double Chance

Ashton United or Draw

Home form 63% vs Away form 38%

90%

odds 1.25

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Ashton United
Ashton United
No data
Ilkeston Town
Ilkeston Town
No data

Current Standings

5
Ashton United
Ashton United
5 P 3 W 10 Pts
13
Ilkeston Town
Ilkeston Town
5 P 2 W 6 Pts

Head to Head

21 Mar 26
Ashton United Ashton United
0–0
Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town
D
8 Nov 25
Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town
0–2
Ashton United Ashton United
A
1 Feb 25
Ashton United Ashton United
2–1
Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town
H
28 Sept 24
Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town
2–2
Ashton United Ashton United
D
13 Apr 24
Ashton United Ashton United
1–2
Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town
A

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