Football
Super League 1 Super League 1
· Regular Season - 4
PAOK

PAOK

2–0

Full Time

Aris Thessalonikis

Aris Thessalonikis

🏟 Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki
🟡 Andrea Colombo
📋 Regular Season - 4
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Home/Draw

Double Chance

85%

confidence

Odds: 1.18 calculated Medium Risk

Analysis of comparison metrics shows PAOK's attack at 57% versus Aris' 43% and a striking defensive advantage with PAOK at 100% compared to Aris at 0%. H2H evidence indicates PAOK’s tendency to avoid losses with recent wins and draws, while season stats highlight PAOK’s average of 4.0 goals and a clean sheet at home. These multiple data points converge to support a PAOK favorable outcome when considering a non-loss scenario. Despite some balanced H2H outcomes, the overall picture favors PAOK at home. Therefore, the recommended pick is a Double Chance on Home/Draw. This is assigned an 85% probability given the strong defensive and attacking metrics. Risk remains moderate due to occasional goalless draws.

Best Value

Home/Draw

Double Chance

The Double Chance market offers compelling value as PAOK’s data consistently indicates an advantage: a home defense at 100% compared to Aris’ ineffective 0% in that metric and recent league form showing a win for PAOK. The H2H records, with several decisive outcomes in PAOK’s favor, further reinforce this choice. With an 85% probability and an effective convergence of evidence from comparison metrics and season stats, the value edge is significant. This market minimizes risk by covering both a win and a draw outcome. It represents a clear value pick under the criteria with a strong edge and high probability.

85%

prob.

1.18

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Home Win

PAOK's home defense is 100% vs Aris' 0%.

80%

odds 1.25

Double Chance

Home/Draw

PAOK's defense at 100% compared to Aris' 0%.

85%

odds 1.18

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

PAOK
PAOK
WLWDL
Aris Thessalonikis
Aris Thessalonikis
WWWLW

League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos
5 5 15
2
PAOK PAOK
5 4 12
3
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC
5 3 11
4
OFI OFI
5 3 10
5
Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus
5 3 10
6
Panetolikos Panetolikos
5 3 9
7
Aris Thessalonikis Aris Thessalonikis
5 2 7
8
Iraklis 1908 Iraklis 1908
5 1 6
9
Kifisia Kifisia
5 1 5
10
Kalamata Kalamata
5 1 4
11
Atromitos Atromitos
5 0 2
12
Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis
5 0 2
13
Volos NFC Volos NFC
5 0 2
14
Levadiakos Levadiakos
5 0 1
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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