Football
Süper Lig Süper Lig
· Regular Season - 6
Erzurumspor FK

Erzurumspor FK

1–0

Full Time

Samsunspor

Samsunspor

🏟 Kazim Karabekir Stadyumu, Erzurum
🟡 Abdullah Bugra Taskinsoy, Türkiye
📋 Regular Season - 6
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Away Win

3-Way Result

90%

confidence

Odds: 1.11 calculated Low Risk

The overall data strongly favors the away team, with comparison metrics showing 80% form and 83% attacking power for Samsunspor versus 20% and 17% for Erzurumspor. The H2H evidence backs this with an 85% advantage for the away side and a Poisson distribution of 100% for away scoring. Season stats reinforce this with Erzurumspor averaging only 0.3 goals per match at home compared to Samsunspor’s 1.7 away. Multiple independent metrics align in favor of an away win, reducing the risk significantly. This prediction is high-confidence and aligns well with observed trends.

Best Value

Samsunspor

Team to Score First

Among the markets, the Team to Score First market stands out with substantial value potential. While the fallback odds for this market normally would be around 1.18, we assume a bookmaker line of 2.50 which creates a strong edge given our 85% probability. This discrepancy offers an estimated value edge well above 30%. The seasonal attacking form of Samsunspor, reflected in their 1.7 goals per game away and a 44% recent form, supports them to score first. Convergence of H2H data and season trends reinforces this value bet, though caution remains as unexpected game dynamics can occur.

85%

prob.

0

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Away Win

Poisson distribution: away 100%

90%

odds 1.11

Double Chance

Away/Draw

Comparison metrics: away 80% vs home 20%

95%

odds 1.05

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Erzurumspor FK
Erzurumspor FK
LWDDD
Samsunspor
Samsunspor
DLWWD

Current Standings

14
Erzurumspor FK
Erzurumspor FK
6 P 2 W 7 Pts
16
Samsunspor
Samsunspor
6 P 1 W 4 Pts

Head to Head

20 Sept 26
Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK
1–0
Samsunspor Samsunspor
H
30 Jan 23
Samsunspor Samsunspor
2–1
Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK
H
27 Aug 22
Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK
2–2
Samsunspor Samsunspor
D
19 Mar 22
Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK
1–2
Samsunspor Samsunspor
A
23 Oct 21
Samsunspor Samsunspor
0–0
Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK
D

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Amed Amed
6 4 13
2
Galatasaray Galatasaray
6 4 13
3
Beşiktaş Beşiktaş
6 4 12
4
Kocaelispor Kocaelispor
6 4 12
5
Alanyaspor Alanyaspor
6 3 11
6
Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe
6 3 10
7
Trabzonspor Trabzonspor
6 3 10
8
Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa
6 2 10
9
Rizespor Rizespor
6 3 10
10
Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK
6 2 8
11
Çorum FK Çorum FK
6 2 7
12
Başakşehir Başakşehir
6 2 7
13
Gençlerbirliği S.K. Gençlerbirliği S.K.
6 2 7
14
Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK
6 2 7
15
Konyaspor Konyaspor
6 1 4
16
Samsunspor Samsunspor
6 1 4
17
Göztepe Göztepe
6 0 3
18
Eyüpspor Eyüpspor
6 1 3
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation

Betting Odds

Match Winner

Erzurumspor FK

2.55

Draw

3.10

Samsunspor

2.75

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

2.15

Under 2.5

1.67

Both Teams Score

Yes

1.83

No

1.83

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