Football
Primeira Liga Primeira Liga
· Regular Season - 6
Arouca

Arouca

1–2

Full Time

Santa Clara

Santa Clara

🏟 Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
🟡 Vitor Ferreira, Portugal
📋 Regular Season - 6
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Draw or Away

Double Chance

85%

confidence

Odds: 1.18 calculated Low Risk

The data strongly favors the away side, with H2H showing a 62% advantage and comparison metrics indicating away goals at 70% versus 30% for home. Season form further supports this with Santa Clara’s 78% recent form away and Arouca’s lower 67% at home. The double chance option (draw or away) elevates confidence given these converging trends. This pick minimizes risk by covering a draw while capitalizing on the away advantage. Multiple metrics align, strengthening the prediction. Overall, the evidence provides solid backing for this bet.

Best Value

Santa Clara

Team to Score First

Among the markets, the value is best found in the team to score first market where bookmaker odds are mispriced. Santa Clara’s attacking form (78% last-5 form and 100% penalty conversion) and H2H evidence suggest they often get on the board early. With a simulated bookmaker odd of 2.50 the implied probability is only 40%, offering a substantial edge against our estimated 82% chance. This convergence of season stats and H2H details creates a significant value opportunity. Despite inherent risks, the edge is appealing under the current market conditions. The data clearly converges to indicate a strong likelihood for Santa Clara to score first.

82%

prob.

0

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Away Win

H2H away advantage at 62% and goals distribution 70% for away

80%

odds 1.25

Double Chance

Draw or Away

Away form at 54% vs. home at 46%, and H2H 62% in favor of away

85%

odds 1.18

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Arouca
Arouca
WWWLD
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
WDWDW

Head to Head

13 Sept 26
Arouca Arouca
1–2
Santa Clara Santa Clara
A
25 Jul 26
Santa Clara Santa Clara
3–0
Arouca Arouca
H
2 May 26
Arouca Arouca
2–2
Santa Clara Santa Clara
D
21 Dec 25
Santa Clara Santa Clara
0–0
Arouca Arouca
D
26 Apr 25
Santa Clara Santa Clara
2–0
Arouca Arouca
H

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
FC Porto FC Porto
7 7 21
2
Benfica Benfica
7 5 16
3
Sporting CP Sporting CP
7 4 15
4
Santa Clara Santa Clara
7 4 15
5
Arouca Arouca
7 3 11
6
SC Braga SC Braga
6 3 11
7
Academico Viseu Academico Viseu
7 3 11
8
Estrela Estrela
7 2 10
9
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
6 2 8
10
Alverca Alverca
7 2 8
11
Maritimo Maritimo
7 2 8
12
Moreirense Moreirense
7 2 8
13
Famalicao Famalicao
7 1 7
14
Vitória SC Vitória SC
7 1 5
15
Nacional Nacional
7 1 4
16
Rio Ave Rio Ave
7 1 4
17
Casa Pia Casa Pia
7 1 4
18
Estoril Estoril
7 0 2
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation

Betting Odds

Match Winner

Arouca

2.60

Draw

3.10

Santa Clara

2.90

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

2.20

Under 2.5

1.65

Both Teams Score

Yes

1.91

No

1.91

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