Sporting CP
Full Time
Nacional
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Home Win
3-Way Result
92%
confidence
The 3-Way Result market strongly favors a Home Win with Sporting CP, supported by a 100% home advantage in H2H and an 81% scoring metric from the comparison data. H2H records show Sporting CP winning every encounter in their recent meetings, with season averages of 3.0 goals at home reinforcing their offensive edge. The Poisson distribution is 61% in favor of the home side and their attack is at 56% compared to Nacional's 44%. Although form is 50% on both sides, the overwhelming H2H evidence reduces risk. This pick is our highest confidence option with near-unanimous backing. Hence, we assign a probability of 92% while noting that market risk remains low.
Best Value
Home/Draw
Double Chance
The Double Chance market offers a strong value pick with a Home/Draw selection. With Sporting CP’s dominant 100% H2H advantage and a 50% form metric coupled with high comparative att/def ratings, the evidence converges towards a safe outcome. The combined team and season stats, including winning in 67% of recent games for Sporting CP, provide a value edge. This option has a high probability of 95%, translating into a significant edge above 30%. Risks are minimal due to the consistent performance in recent fixtures and overall season data. We, therefore, set this as the best optimal pick.
95%
prob.
1.05
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Home Win
100% H2H home advantage & 81% goals (home)
92%
odds 1.09
Double Chance
Home/Draw
67% recent win rate & 100% H2H home advantage
95%
odds 1.05
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Head to Head
Sporting CP Nacional Sporting CP Nacional Nacional Sporting CP Sporting CP Nacional Sporting CP Nacional +5 more H2H results in the app
Download Free →League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 7 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 7 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Sporting CP ● | 7 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 7 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 7 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 |  SC Braga | 6 | 3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Academico Viseu | 7 | 3 | 11 |
| 8 |  Estrela | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 9 |  GIL Vicente | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 7 | 2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Maritimo | 7 | 2 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 7 | 2 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 7 | 1 | 7 |
| 14 |  Vitória SC | 7 | 1 | 5 |
| 15 | Nacional ● | 7 | 1 | 4 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 7 | 1 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 7 | 1 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 7 | 0 | 2 |
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