Football
Bundesliga Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 4
SC Paderborn 07

SC Paderborn 07

3–1

Full Time

1899 Hoffenheim

1899 Hoffenheim

🏟 Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn
🟡 Daniel Schlager
📋 Regular Season - 4
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Away or Draw

Double Chance

90%

confidence

Odds: 1.11 calculated Low Risk

The data strongly favors an away outcome with the away h2h metric at 80% and a goals metric of 83% supporting 1899 Hoffenheim. The away team has demonstrated superiority in attacking, while home SC Paderborn averages 0.0 goals over recent matches. H2H history also provides evidence with two outcomes favoring the away team. Additionally, overall comparison percentages of 59.0% for the away side further reinforce this view. Seasonal stats reveal Paderborn’s failure to score, adding weight to this pick. Given these converging signals, the double chance for an away or draw is a conservative yet high-probability selection.

Best Value

Away

Team to Score First

For optimal value, the Team to Score First market offers an attractive edge, with the away team’s attacking percentage at 100% and a historical trend favoring their early goal appearance. Despite a conservative model probability of 80%, the bookmaker odds are assumed to be mispriced at 2.50, offering about a 40% value edge. The implied probability from odds of 2.50 is only 40%, which is significantly lower than our model probability. H2H data and comparison metrics further back the likelihood of an away first goal. This convergence of evidence alongside a strong value proposition makes this pick noteworthy. It remains a calculated risk but with substantial upside in terms of value.

80%

prob.

0

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Away Win

Away metrics: h2h 80% and goals 83%

85%

odds 1.18

Double Chance

Away or Draw

Total comparison 59.0% away vs 41.0% home

90%

odds 1.11

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

SC Paderborn 07
SC Paderborn 07
DWWWD
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
WDLWW

Current Standings

13
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
3 P 1 W 3 Pts
16
SC Paderborn 07
SC Paderborn 07
3 P 0 W 1 Pts

Head to Head

20 Sept 26
SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07
3–1
1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim
H
23 May 20
SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07
1–1
1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim
D
1 Nov 19
1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim
3–0
SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07
H
21 Mar 15
SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07
0–0
1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim
D
25 Oct 14
1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim
1–0
SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07
H

League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
4 4 12
2
Bayern München Bayern München
4 3 10
3
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
4 3 10
4
FC Augsburg FC Augsburg
4 2 7
5
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
4 2 7
6
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
4 2 7
7
SV Elversberg SV Elversberg
4 2 7
8
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
4 2 7
9
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
4 2 6
10
Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
4 1 5
11
FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04
4 1 5
12
SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07
4 1 4
13
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln
4 1 4
14
1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim
4 1 3
15
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
4 1 3
16
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
4 1 3
17
Union Berlin Union Berlin
4 0 1
18
Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach
4 0 0
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation

Betting Odds

Match Winner

SC Paderborn 07

3.90

Draw

4.33

1899 Hoffenheim

1.75

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.36

Under 2.5

3.20

Both Teams Score

Yes

1.44

No

2.62

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