Football
La Liga La Liga
· Regular Season - 7
Valencia

Valencia

2–3

Full Time

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

🏟 Estadio de Mestalla, Valdivia
🟡 Jose Luis Munuera Montero
📋 Regular Season - 7
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Real Sociedad Win

3-Way Result

85%

confidence

Odds: 2.5 bookmaker Medium-High Risk

The data clearly favors Real Sociedad with a form of 88% compared to Valencia's 13% and a Poisson distribution of 100% for the away team. Season goals averages (1.2 for Real Sociedad vs 0.2 for Valencia) further bolster this prediction. Additionally, despite an even head-to-head (50% each), recent form and attacking stats lean heavily in favor of Real Sociedad. The overall evidence from comparison metrics (66.2% total away advantage) adds weight to this choice. However, a few conflicting H2H matches introduce a medium-high risk. Thus, a Real Sociedad win appears to be the most likely outcome.

Best Value

Draw/Away

Double Chance

The Double Chance market shows robust value with the option 'Draw/Away' having a bookmaker odd of 1.44. Recent head-to-head results include four draws out of ten, and Real Sociedad’s season form and attack (88% form and 86% att) increase the likelihood for an away win or draw. This convergence gives a value edge, as the implied probability from the odds is much lower. The evidence from comparison metrics and season stats supports a 90% probability, offering an approximate 30%+ edge. Although some H2H conflicts add minor risk, the overall picture is strong.

90%

prob.

1.44

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Real Sociedad Win

Form: 88% away vs 13% home

85%

odds 2.5

Double Chance

Draw/Away

Overall away advantage: 66.2%

90%

odds 1.44

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Valencia
Valencia
LDLLD
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
WLLLL

Current Standings

13
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
6 P 2 W 7 Pts
19
Valencia
Valencia
6 P 1 W 4 Pts

Head to Head

20 Sept 26
Valencia Valencia
2–3
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
A
17 May 26
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
3–4
Valencia Valencia
A
16 Aug 25
Valencia Valencia
1–1
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
D
19 Jan 25
Valencia Valencia
1–0
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
H
28 Sept 24
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
3–0
Valencia Valencia
H

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Barcelona Barcelona
7 7 21
2
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
7 5 16
3
Real Betis Real Betis
7 5 16
4
Real Madrid Real Madrid
7 5 15
5
Sevilla Sevilla
7 4 13
6
Alaves Alaves
7 3 11
7
Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna
7 2 10
8
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
7 3 10
9
Villarreal Villarreal
7 2 8
10
Athletic Club Athletic Club
6 2 8
11
Getafe Getafe
7 2 8
12
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
7 2 8
13
Osasuna Osasuna
7 2 8
14
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
7 1 7
15
Espanyol Espanyol
7 2 7
16
Racing Santander Racing Santander
7 2 7
17
Levante Levante
6 1 5
18
Elche Elche
7 1 5
19
Valencia Valencia
7 1 4
20
Malaga Malaga
7 0 3
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation

Betting Odds

Match Winner

Valencia

2.80

Draw

3.40

Real Sociedad

2.50

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.91

Under 2.5

1.91

Both Teams Score

Yes

1.70

No

2.05

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