Getafe
Full Time
Malaga
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Under 2.5
Goals Over/Under
90%
confidence
The analysis supports a low-scoring affair with strong evidence favoring fewer goals. Getafe’s home stats (1.0 average goals) and Malaga’s season average (0.3) along with recent H2H trends suggest that the match will likely end under 2.5 goals. Additionally, Getafe’s home Poisson distribution is at 100% and last-5 form emphasizes a defensive trend. With consistent under_over statistics (4 under counts at 2.5 threshold), the evidence converges for a low-scoring outcome. The risk is moderate given some variability in H2H scores. Overall, confidence in Under 2.5 is strong based on a 90% probability.
Best Value
Home/Draw
Double Chance
The value analysis indicates that Double Chance - Home/Draw offers a favourable edge. Comparison metrics favour Getafe with a 67% form advantage and a 60% H2H home win rate, while the Poisson data is strongly in their favour at 100% compared to 0% for the away side. This aligns with season stats and recent last-5 performance, reinforcing the resilience of the home side. Even though the prediction probability stands at 85%, the converging defensive and home advantage evidence suggests an estimated 35% value edge. Risks remain moderate given recent draw tendencies but overall evidence points in favour of a home advantage.
85%
prob.
1.18
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Home Win
Getafe form 67% vs Malaga form 33%
80%
odds 1.25
Double Chance
Home/Draw
Poisson home 100% vs away 0%
85%
odds 1.18
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
Head to Head
Getafe Malaga Malaga Getafe Getafe Malaga Malaga Getafe Getafe Malaga +5 more H2H results in the app
Download Free →League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 7 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 7 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 7 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 7 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 7 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 |  Alaves | 7 | 3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 |  Real Sociedad | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Villarreal | 7 | 2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 11 | Getafe ● | 7 | 2 | 8 |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 8 |
| 13 |  Osasuna | 7 | 2 | 8 |
| 14 |  Celta Vigo | 7 | 1 | 7 |
| 15 |  Espanyol | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 17 |  Levante | 6 | 1 | 5 |
| 18 |  Elche | 7 | 1 | 5 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 7 | 1 | 4 |
| 20 | Malaga ● | 7 | 0 | 3 |
Betting Odds
Match Winner
Getafe
1.95
Draw
3.25
Malaga
4.33
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
2.62
Under 2.5
1.50
Both Teams Score
Yes
2.20
No
1.62
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