Football
Segunda División Segunda División
· Regular Season - 4
Almeria

Almeria

3–2

Full Time

Cadiz

Cadiz

🏟 UD Almeria Stadium, Almeria
🟡 Gorka Etayo Herrera, Spain
📋 Regular Season - 4
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Home or Draw

3-Way Result

92%

confidence

Odds: 1.09 calculated Low Risk

Double Chance (Home or Draw) emerges as our highest confidence pick with a 92% probability. The comparison matrix shows a strong edge for the home side with a 60% form and 67% defense compared to the away's 40% and 33% respectively, while H2H favors home at 71%. Season stats further back this with Almeria’s solid home performance contrasted with Cadiz’s less impressive 33% last-5 form. Despite typical fluctuations in H2H matches, the convergence of metrics conveys a compelling overall safety for a non-loss outcome. Note the risk remains minimal due to the cushioning effect of offering two outcomes. This alignment justifies our 92% confidence level in this bet.

Best Value

Home Win

3-Way Result

Our best value option is the Home Win in the 3-Way Result market with an 85% probability, bolstered by multiple metrics. The comparison stats show a 60% form and 72% goals for home, while the Poisson distribution is 100% in favor of home scoring. Historical H2H outcomes also lean towards home wins with a 71% advantage. The season records further reinforce this, with Almeria’s average of 3.0 home goals compared to Cadiz’s weaker attack. Given these converging lines, we assume an optimal bookmaker line of 1.53, offering a roughly 30% value edge. This combination drives a high value rating.

85%

prob.

0

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Home Win

Home team Poisson distribution at 100%

85%

odds 1.18

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Double Chance probability at 92%

92%

odds 1.09

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Almeria
Almeria
WWWLL
Cadiz
Cadiz
DLWWL

Current Standings

4
Almeria
Almeria
6 P 4 W 12 Pts
19
Cadiz
Cadiz
6 P 0 W 3 Pts
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