Football
Premier League Premier League
· Regular Season - 6
Chelsea

Chelsea

vs

Not Started

Bournemouth

Bournemouth

🏟 Stamford Bridge, London
📋 Regular Season - 6
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Home Win

3-Way Result

80%

confidence

Odds: 1.25 calculated Low Risk

Chelsea’s overall metrics strongly favor a home win. Their comparison stats show a 75% form and 67% attacking advantage, and H2H data also leans 75% towards home. Season stats back this with an average of 2.7 goals and strong home scoring, while Bournemouth’s poor away form (22% in last 5) further supports the likelihood. The evidence is consistent across multiple data points, despite occasional draws in H2H. Using a conservative approach, we estimate an 80% probability for a Chelsea home win. The fallback odds based on this probability are 1.25. This pick is low risk given the dominant home metrics.

Best Value

Home or Draw

Double Chance

Double Chance for Home or Draw gathers strength from Chelsea’s 75% favorable H2H and 67% attacking support, making it a robust cushion bet. Bournemouth’s weak form (22% last 5) further reinforces security in this outcome. The double chance option takes into account both a potential home win and a draw, reducing risk while capitalizing on home advantage. Despite converging evidence, the fallback odds imply a minor value edge. Overall, the protective nature of double chance with an estimated probability of 85% makes it appealing even with a modest value rating.

85%

prob.

1.18

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Home Win

Chelsea 75% home form advantage

80%

odds 1.25

Double Chance

Home or Draw

85% probability for Home or Draw

85%

odds 1.18

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Chelsea
Chelsea
No data
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
DLLDW

Head to Head

30 Dec 25
Chelsea Chelsea
2–2
Bournemouth Bournemouth
D
6 Dec 25
Bournemouth Bournemouth
0–0
Chelsea Chelsea
D
14 Jan 25
Chelsea Chelsea
2–2
Bournemouth Bournemouth
D
14 Sept 24
Bournemouth Bournemouth
0–1
Chelsea Chelsea
A
19 May 24
Chelsea Chelsea
2–1
Bournemouth Bournemouth
H

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Manchester City Manchester City
5 5 15
2
Arsenal Arsenal
5 4 12
3
Brighton Brighton
5 3 10
4
Brentford Brentford
5 2 9
5
Leeds Leeds
5 2 9
6
Liverpool Liverpool
5 2 9
7
Everton Everton
5 2 9
8
Hull City Hull City
5 2 8
9
Newcastle Newcastle
5 2 8
10
Chelsea Chelsea
5 2 7
11
Ipswich Ipswich
5 2 6
12
Manchester United Manchester United
5 1 5
13
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
5 1 5
14
Sunderland Sunderland
5 1 4
15
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
5 1 4
16
Aston Villa Aston Villa
5 1 4
17
Bournemouth Bournemouth
5 0 3
18
Coventry Coventry
5 1 3
19
Fulham Fulham
5 0 2
20
Tottenham Tottenham
5 0 2
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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