The home side shows strong indicators with a last-5 attacking form of 83% and a comparison form of 76% in favor of home. Team to Score First: Home is supported by home’s recent high attacking figures and a favorable 59% attack across comparisons. Despite a balanced H2H (50%-50%), the home team’s last-5 form at 87% reinforces the likelihood of scoring first. This prediction carries minimal conflict with season stats where home goals average 2.0 per match. The evidence converges on early goal initiation by the home team. Overall, this pick reflects strong, multi-metric alignment with an 85% predicted probability.