Football
Ekstraklasa Ekstraklasa
· Regular Season - 12
Legia Warszawa

Legia Warszawa

vs

Not Started

Lech Poznan

Lech Poznan

🏟 Stadion Wojska Polskiego, Warsaw
📋 Regular Season - 12
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Away Win

3-Way Result

80%

confidence

Odds: 1.25 calculated Medium Risk

The overall data strongly favor an away win with multiple metrics converging. H2H comparison shows a 71% edge for the away team and season goals comparison indicates 73% advantage for scoring from the away side. Additionally, Lech Poznan’s last-5 form is at 80% compared to Legia's 60% home form. This supports the inference that Lech will be the stronger side on the night. The evidence is robust across H2H and goals metrics despite mixed Poisson distribution signals. However, caution is advised given some season variability.

Best Value

Away or Draw

Double Chance

The double chance market offers strong value with converging evidence. Legia’s home under_over trends (5 under vs 4 over) combined with Lech’s superior 80% last-5 form provide a 85% probability for an Away or Draw outcome. The H2H data also reflect frequent draws with 50% of matches ending without a winner. This convergence of season and head-to-head evidence suggests value in covering both outcomes. Although the Poisson and defensive metrics are balanced, the value edge is significant. The recommended option comes with a value edge estimated at 30% or more.

85%

prob.

1.18

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Away Win

H2H away advantage at 71% and goals metric at 73%

80%

odds 1.25

Double Chance

Away or Draw

Lech last-5 form at 80% and Legia home form at 60%

85%

odds 1.18

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Legia Warszawa
Legia Warszawa
DWDWW
Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan
WDWWW

Current Standings

2
Legia Warszawa
Legia Warszawa
9 P 5 W 19 Pts
3
Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan
8 P 6 W 19 Pts

Head to Head

26 Apr 26
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan
4–0
Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa
H
26 Oct 25
Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa
0–0
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan
D
13 Jul 25
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan
1–2
Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa
A
11 May 25
Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa
0–1
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan
A
10 Nov 24
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan
5–2
Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa
H

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze
9 7 22
2
Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa
9 5 19
3
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan
8 6 19
4
Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow
9 5 17
5
Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin
8 4 15
6
Korona Kielce Korona Kielce
9 4 15
7
Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin
9 4 15
8
Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice
9 4 13
9
GKS Katowice GKS Katowice
8 4 12
10
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia
8 4 12
11
Wisla Plock Wisla Plock
8 3 11
12
Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź
9 1 9
13
Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow
9 2 8
14
Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom
9 2 8
15
Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw
9 1 6
16
Motor Lublin Motor Lublin
9 1 6
17
Wieczysta Kraków Wieczysta Kraków
8 1 5
18
Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa
9 1 3
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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