Football
Ekstraklasa Ekstraklasa
· Regular Season - 12
Jagiellonia

Jagiellonia

vs

Not Started

Wisla Plock

Wisla Plock

🏟 Chorten Arena, Bialystok
📋 Regular Season - 12
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Home or Draw

Double Chance

85%

confidence

Odds: 1.18 calculated Low Risk

The data shows that Jagiellonia has a solid home advantage with a 60% form rating and 62% attacking strength, while Wisla Plock lags with 40% form and 38% attack. The comparison metrics (home 64% Poisson versus away 36%) and season performance (home goals average of 1.0 vs away average of 1.0) support a conservative double chance leaning. Additionally, our analysis of the last five matches highlights Jagiellonia’s resilience. Despite mixed head-to-head outcomes, the safety of covering a home win or draw is underscored by a 56.8% total likelihood for the home side. This pick is robust given it minimizes risk in light of conflicting half-time trends. Overall, the convergence of 60% form and 62% attack reinforces the call with a high confidence level.

Best Value

Under 2.5

Goals Over/Under

The Under 2.5 Goals market stands out with strong season evidence where Jagiellonia recorded under 2.5 outcomes in 6 out of 7 cases and Wisla Plock showed similar trends with 6 under results. The comparison metrics further align with a low-scoring expected match, as home and away goal percentages are both at 50%. This convergent evidence from season under/over thresholds and head-to-head low scoring appearances creates a notable value opportunity. The predicted high probability of 85% provides a buffer against scoring anomalies while reducing overall match volatility. With a value edge rated at 5, the option blends high confidence with a clear statistical advantage. The risk remains minimal given the strong prevalence of under results in past fixtures.

85%

prob.

1.18

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Home Win

Home superiority with 60% form and 64% Poisson distribution

80%

odds 1.25

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Home or Draw with 60% form vs 40% away

85%

odds 1.18

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Jagiellonia
Jagiellonia
No data
Wisla Plock
Wisla Plock
LLDWW

Current Standings

10
Jagiellonia
Jagiellonia
8 P 4 W 12 Pts
11
Wisla Plock
Wisla Plock
8 P 3 W 11 Pts

League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze
9 7 22
2
Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa
9 5 19
3
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan
8 6 19
4
Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow
9 5 17
5
Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin
8 4 15
6
Korona Kielce Korona Kielce
9 4 15
7
Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin
9 4 15
8
Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice
9 4 13
9
GKS Katowice GKS Katowice
8 4 12
10
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia
8 4 12
11
Wisla Plock Wisla Plock
8 3 11
12
Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź
9 1 9
13
Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow
9 2 8
14
Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom
9 2 8
15
Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw
9 1 6
16
Motor Lublin Motor Lublin
9 1 6
17
Wieczysta Kraków Wieczysta Kraków
8 1 5
18
Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa
9 1 3
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
🏀 🎾 🏈

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