The away side shows overwhelming recent form at 100% compared to the home side's 0% and a Poisson advantage of 79% versus 21%. Although the head-to-head is even at 50/50, season stats highlight that Brest averages 2.0 goals while Auxerre averages 1.5, and Brest’s defense concedes only 2.0 per game versus Auxerre’s 4.0. This convergence of comparison metrics and season goal statistics supports an Away Win. There remains some risk given mixed H2H outcomes, but the dominant attacking and defensive metrics for the away team justify this pick. Overall, the evidence from both the 35% weighted comparison and the 25% season goals data suggests strong confidence.