Football
Ligue 1 Ligue 1
· Regular Season - 4
Lorient

Lorient

2–2

Full Time

Toulouse

Toulouse

🏟 Stade Yves Allainmat-Le Moustoir, Lorient
🟡 Aurelien Petit, France
📋 Regular Season - 4
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Under 2.5

Goals Over/Under

90%

confidence

Odds: 1.11 calculated Low Risk

The data shows a very low scoring trend with both teams averaging 0.0 goals and under_over stats indicating under outcomes (each team has under 2.5 in their records). Lorient’s home defensive form is 100% while Toulouse’s form is 0%, supporting a low-scoring game. Additionally, season stats and recent trends on goals (0.0 average) converge on an under goal scenario. Considering these multiple independent low scoring indicators and the consistency of under outcomes (under_over 2.5 is 1), this pick is very convincing despite some differing h2h signals. The probability here is 90%, making it the highest confidence outcome. The risk remains low given the evidence. Overall, the evidence strongly favors a scoreline with fewer than 3 goals.

Best Value

Under 2.5

Goals Over/Under

Analyzing the value edge reveals strong convergence on a low scoring affair with both teams averaging 0.0 goals and under_over metrics consistently favoring under. Lorient’s home form is 100% and defensive record is 100%, while Toulouse’s record shows no attacking threat, making Under 2.5 a strategically high-value bet. The underlying data from season and last five matches support a very low scoring game. With a probability of 90% and robust supporting stats, this pick provides an estimated value edge of approximately 30% or greater. Risk remains very low and the evidence is well-aligned across comparison and season metrics. This selection meets both the probability and value criteria.

90%

prob.

1.11

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Home Win

Home form 100% vs Away form 0%

70%

odds 1.43

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Defensive form 100% at home

80%

odds 1.25

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Lorient
Lorient
No data
Toulouse
Toulouse
No data

League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Monaco Monaco
5 4 13
2
Lyon Lyon
5 3 11
3
Paris FC Paris FC
5 3 11
4
Lille Lille
5 3 10
5
Rennes Rennes
5 3 10
6
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
5 2 8
7
Angers Angers
5 2 7
8
Strasbourg Strasbourg
5 2 7
9
Le Mans Le Mans
5 1 6
10
Auxerre Auxerre
5 2 6
11
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29
5 1 5
12
Lorient Lorient
5 1 5
13
Toulouse Toulouse
5 1 5
14
Nice Nice
5 1 5
15
Lens Lens
5 1 4
16
Estac Troyes Estac Troyes
5 1 4
17
Marseille Marseille
5 1 3
18
Le Havre Le Havre
5 0 2
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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