Heerenveen
Not Started
Excelsior
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Away or Draw
Double Chance
90%
confidence
Double Chance emerges as the highest confidence pick with a 90% probability, supported by the away team’s dominating comparison metrics (70% form and 84% poisson distribution) and strong head-to-head evidence with 5 wins out of 9 matches. This option minimizes risk by combining away win and draw outcomes in a competitive match environment. Season data shows Excelsior’s scoring consistency, strengthening the double chance call. Although some conflicts exist in BTTS data, the overall convergence towards an away advantage raises confidence.
Best Value
Away Win
3-Way Result
The 3-Way Result predicting an Away Win holds strong value with an 85% probability and a calculated value edge assumed at 30%. Multiple independent metrics back this call: the away team shows 70% form and an 84% poisson distribution, while head-to-head records lean in favor of the away side with 5 wins in 9 past encounters. Season stats further underline Excelsior’s attacking power with higher goals average compared to the opposition. This convergence of evidence makes it an optimal value play despite minor risks.
85%
prob.
1.18
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Away Win
Away form at 70% and Poisson distribution at 84%
85%
odds 1.18
Double Chance
Away or Draw
Double Chance at 90% probability driven by 70% away form
90%
odds 1.11
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AZ Alkmaar | 7 | 6 | 19 |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 7 | 5 | 17 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 7 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 |  Twente | 7 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 7 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 7 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Excelsior ● | 7 | 3 | 11 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 7 | 3 | 11 |
| 9 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 10 | Heerenveen ● | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen | 7 | 2 | 8 |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 1 | 5 |
| 13 |  Telstar | 7 | 1 | 5 |
| 14 |  Cambuur | 7 | 1 | 5 |
| 15 |  Utrecht | 7 | 1 | 5 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 7 | 1 | 4 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 7 | 0 | 2 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 7 | 0 | 2 |
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