Football
Eredivisie Eredivisie
· Regular Season - 8
Excelsior

Excelsior

vs

Not Started

Groningen

Groningen

🏟 Stadion Woudestein, Rotterdam
📋 Regular Season - 8
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Yes

BTTS

80%

confidence

Odds: 1.25 calculated Medium Risk

The evidence strongly supports goals from both sides as Excelsior have no clean sheets at home (0 in 3 fixtures) and Groningen have conceded in all 6 league games. Furthermore, the season data shows Excelsior scored only 4 home goals in 3 matches, while Groningen’s attacking force averages 2.0 goals per game, reinforcing a goal-rich encounter. The comparative metrics underline a defensive vulnerability for Groningen (33% in last-5 def%) and a moderate attack for Excelsior (47% att), with H2H favoring away teams in scoring (60%). This convergence from season stats, last-5 performance and H2H statistics gives a solid 80% confidence in BTTS yes. It is noted that slight uncertainties remain due to mixed h2h outcomes, so caution is advised. Overall, multiple independent metrics point to both teams finding the net.

Best Value

Home or Draw

Double Chance

The double chance market offers value given Excelsior’s strong home defense (63% defensive metric) and Groningen’s poor away defense (33% in last-5 def%), creating a safe outcome for Home or Draw. Additionally, comparison metrics favor Excelsior in form (58% vs 42%) despite mixed H2H outcomes. The season stats reinforce a cautious game with Excelsior having a 0 clean-sheet record at home, meaning they are likely to at least secure a draw. With converging evidence across form, defense, and H2H, we assign an 85% probability for Double Chance Home/Draw with significant value. Some risk is noted given the attacking potency of Groningen but overall the edge stands out.

85%

prob.

1.18

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Draw

Excelsior home form at 58% vs. Groningen away form at 33%

65%

odds 1.54

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Excelsior defense at 63% vs. Groningen last-5 def at 33%

85%

odds 1.18

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Excelsior
Excelsior
No data
Groningen
Groningen
WWWDL

Current Standings

7
Excelsior
Excelsior
7 P 3 W 11 Pts
8
Groningen
Groningen
7 P 3 W 11 Pts

League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
7 6 19
2
Feyenoord Feyenoord
7 5 17
3
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven
7 5 16
4
Twente Twente
7 5 16
5
Ajax Ajax
7 4 14
6
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard
7 4 13
7
Excelsior Excelsior
7 3 11
8
Groningen Groningen
7 3 11
9
GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles
7 2 10
10
Heerenveen Heerenveen
7 2 9
11
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
7 2 8
12
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam
7 1 5
13
Telstar Telstar
7 1 5
14
Cambuur Cambuur
7 1 5
15
Utrecht Utrecht
7 1 5
16
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
7 1 4
17
ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag
7 0 2
18
Willem II Willem II
7 0 2
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
🏀 🎾 🏈

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