Excelsior
Not Started
Groningen
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Yes
BTTS
80%
confidence
The evidence strongly supports goals from both sides as Excelsior have no clean sheets at home (0 in 3 fixtures) and Groningen have conceded in all 6 league games. Furthermore, the season data shows Excelsior scored only 4 home goals in 3 matches, while Groningen’s attacking force averages 2.0 goals per game, reinforcing a goal-rich encounter. The comparative metrics underline a defensive vulnerability for Groningen (33% in last-5 def%) and a moderate attack for Excelsior (47% att), with H2H favoring away teams in scoring (60%). This convergence from season stats, last-5 performance and H2H statistics gives a solid 80% confidence in BTTS yes. It is noted that slight uncertainties remain due to mixed h2h outcomes, so caution is advised. Overall, multiple independent metrics point to both teams finding the net.
Best Value
Home or Draw
Double Chance
The double chance market offers value given Excelsior’s strong home defense (63% defensive metric) and Groningen’s poor away defense (33% in last-5 def%), creating a safe outcome for Home or Draw. Additionally, comparison metrics favor Excelsior in form (58% vs 42%) despite mixed H2H outcomes. The season stats reinforce a cautious game with Excelsior having a 0 clean-sheet record at home, meaning they are likely to at least secure a draw. With converging evidence across form, defense, and H2H, we assign an 85% probability for Double Chance Home/Draw with significant value. Some risk is noted given the attacking potency of Groningen but overall the edge stands out.
85%
prob.
1.18
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Draw
Excelsior home form at 58% vs. Groningen away form at 33%
65%
odds 1.54
Double Chance
Home or Draw
Excelsior defense at 63% vs. Groningen last-5 def at 33%
85%
odds 1.18
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ Alkmaar | 7 | 6 | 19 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 7 | 5 | 17 |
| 3 | PSV Eindhoven | 7 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | Twente | 7 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Ajax | 7 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 7 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Excelsior ● | 7 | 3 | 11 |
| 8 | Groningen ● | 7 | 3 | 11 |
| 9 | GO Ahead Eagles | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 7 | 2 | 8 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 1 | 5 |
| 13 | Telstar | 7 | 1 | 5 |
| 14 | Cambuur | 7 | 1 | 5 |
| 15 | Utrecht | 7 | 1 | 5 |
| 16 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 1 | 4 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 7 | 0 | 2 |
| 18 | Willem II | 7 | 0 | 2 |
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