Football
Eredivisie Eredivisie
· Regular Season - 8
Ajax

Ajax

vs

Not Started

NEC Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen

🏟 Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
📋 Regular Season - 8
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

BTTS

BTTS

80%

confidence

Odds: 1.25 calculated Medium-High Risk

BTTS is strongly supported by multiple independent metrics. H2H evidence shows frequent both-teams scoring outcomes with match scores like 1-1 and 2-2. Ajax’s season record of zero failed-to-score at home combined with NEC’s high attacking percentage (55% away) reinforces this view. Comparison metrics show a home attack of 45% versus an away attack of 55% and defensive metrics of 64% for Ajax, adding balance. The convergence of these factors gives a robust 80% probability, although inherent variability remains a risk. With no bookmaker odds provided, we use a fallback odds of 1.25 (100/80).

Best Value

Ajax/Draw

Double Chance

The Double Chance on Ajax/Draw presents an attractive value edge backed by strong defensive indicators and balanced H2H outcomes. Ajax’s home defensive metric is 64% and their recent home league form shows a 79% defensive performance in the last 5 matches. H2H records also indicate that draws occur frequently, reinforced by outcomes like 1-1 and 2-2. Comparison metrics, such as equal form at 50% for both teams and a slight edge in attack for NEC (55% away vs 45% home), add further context. Season data supporting Ajax’s ability to avoid losses with a draw option converges into a 75% probability. Assuming a value edge of roughly 30%, we assign a value rating of 3 with fallback odds of 1.33 (100/75).

75%

prob.

1.33

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Draw

Balanced form at 50% each with Ajax conceding 2.5 vs NEC scoring 3.5 on average

70%

odds 1.43

Double Chance

Ajax/Draw

Ajax home defense 64% with H2H draws recorded frequently

75%

odds 1.33

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Ajax
Ajax
No data
NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
WLLWW

Head to Head

21 Feb 26
Ajax Ajax
1–1
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
D
20 Dec 25
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
2–2
Ajax Ajax
D
11 May 25
Ajax Ajax
0–3
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
A
1 Dec 24
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
1–2
Ajax Ajax
A
18 Feb 24
Ajax Ajax
2–2
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
D

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
7 6 19
2
Feyenoord Feyenoord
7 5 17
3
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven
7 5 16
4
Twente Twente
7 5 16
5
Ajax Ajax
7 4 14
6
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard
7 4 13
7
Excelsior Excelsior
7 3 11
8
Groningen Groningen
7 3 11
9
GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles
7 2 10
10
Heerenveen Heerenveen
7 2 9
11
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
7 2 8
12
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam
7 1 5
13
Telstar Telstar
7 1 5
14
Cambuur Cambuur
7 1 5
15
Utrecht Utrecht
7 1 5
16
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
7 1 4
17
ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag
7 0 2
18
Willem II Willem II
7 0 2
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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