Football
Eredivisie Eredivisie
· Regular Season - 7
Groningen

Groningen

3–0

Full Time

PEC Zwolle

PEC Zwolle

🏟 Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadion, Groningen
🟡 Martin Van den Kerkhof
📋 Regular Season - 7
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Under 2.5

Goals Over/Under

87%

confidence

Odds: 1.15 calculated Low Risk

The Under 2.5 goals market is strongly supported by both teams' under_over trends; Groningen posted under results in 3 out of 4 matches and PEC Zwolle achieved 4 out of 4, totaling roughly 87.5% consistency. Season averages (2.3 for Groningen and 1.0 for Zwolle) also point towards fewer goals. Comparison metrics show a moderate home goal tendency (38% for home) but the collective evidence from H2H low-scoring draws reinforces this pick. While some attacking metrics are in favor of higher scores, the convergence of under_over data gives us high confidence at 87%. This under market minimizes risk and aligns with historical patterns. Thus, we have an 87% probability for Under 2.5 goals.

Best Value

Under 2.5

Goals Over/Under

The Under 2.5 goals option offers a clear value edge, with approximately 87% probability supported by 7 out of 8 matches favoring lower scoring outcomes. Season stats (Groningen scoring 9 total and PEC Zwolle 4 total) and consistent under_over figures provide a strong statistical backing. Comparison metrics and H2H history also lean towards low-scoring fixtures. Despite some conflicting attacking indicators, the convergence of evidence presents an attractive value bet with an estimated edge of 30% or more. This market stands out for both high probability and value, making it our best optimal pick.

87%

prob.

1.15

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Groningen Win

Home form at 67% vs Away form at 33%

70%

odds 1.43

Double Chance

Groningen/Draw

Combined home form 67% with 80% coverage

80%

odds 1.25

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Groningen
Groningen
WWWDL
PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle
LLLLW

Current Standings

8
Groningen
Groningen
7 P 3 W 11 Pts
16
PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle
7 P 1 W 4 Pts

Head to Head

18 Sept 26
Groningen Groningen
3–0
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
H
13 Mar 26
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
1–1
Groningen Groningen
D
23 Nov 25
Groningen Groningen
2–2
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
D
18 May 25
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
2–0
Groningen Groningen
H
8 Dec 24
Groningen Groningen
0–0
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
D

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
7 6 19
2
Feyenoord Feyenoord
7 5 17
3
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven
7 5 16
4
Twente Twente
7 5 16
5
Ajax Ajax
7 4 14
6
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard
7 4 13
7
Excelsior Excelsior
7 3 11
8
Groningen Groningen
7 3 11
9
GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles
7 2 10
10
Heerenveen Heerenveen
7 2 9
11
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
7 2 8
12
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam
7 1 5
13
Telstar Telstar
7 1 5
14
Cambuur Cambuur
7 1 5
15
Utrecht Utrecht
7 1 5
16
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
7 1 4
17
ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag
7 0 2
18
Willem II Willem II
7 0 2
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation

Betting Odds

Match Winner

Groningen

1.53

Draw

4.50

PEC Zwolle

5.25

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.33

Under 2.5

3.40

Both Teams Score

Yes

1.50

No

2.50

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