GO Ahead Eagles
Full Time
Groningen
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Home Win
3-Way Result
80%
confidence
The head-to-head record heavily favors the home team with a 75% advantage and the goals metric shows home at 63%, supporting a Home Win. Season form from the last 5 matches backs this with a 67% form for the home side. Additionally, the Poisson distribution (59% for home) further reinforces the likelihood. While away form is slightly better in overall percentages, the convergence in h2h and season stats makes this pick robust. Note that moderate risk remains due to mixed overall form percentages. Overall, multiple independent metrics point towards a Home Win.
Best Value
Over 2.5
Goals Over/Under
The Goals Over/Under market presents excellent value with Over 2.5 goals, as both teams average 3.0 goals per match in recent fixtures. Comparison metrics show home goals at 63% and away at 38%, which supports a high scoring outcome despite defensive strengths. Statistical evidence from season data and last-5 performance indicates both teams rarely fail to score. Assuming bookmaker odds of 2.10, the implied probability is around 47.62%, yielding a value edge of over 30%. Although risk exists if defensive adjustments are made, the clear value edge justifies this selection.
80%
prob.
0
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Home Win
Head-to-head advantage of 75% and home goals at 63%
80%
odds 1.25
Double Chance
Home or Draw
Home form at 67% in last 5 and h2h at 75%
85%
odds 1.18
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AZ Alkmaar | 7 | 6 | 19 |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 7 | 5 | 17 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 7 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 |  Twente | 7 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 7 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 7 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 |  Excelsior | 7 | 3 | 11 |
| 8 | Groningen ● | 7 | 3 | 11 |
| 9 | GO Ahead Eagles ● | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen | 7 | 2 | 8 |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 1 | 5 |
| 13 |  Telstar | 7 | 1 | 5 |
| 14 |  Cambuur | 7 | 1 | 5 |
| 15 |  Utrecht | 7 | 1 | 5 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 7 | 1 | 4 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 7 | 0 | 2 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 7 | 0 | 2 |
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