Football
Eredivisie Eredivisie
· Regular Season - 3
Ajax

Ajax

5–1

Full Time

Willem II

Willem II

🏟 Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
🟡 Allard Lindhout, Netherlands
📋 Regular Season - 3
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Home Win

3-Way Result

92%

confidence

Odds: 1.09 calculated Low Risk

Ajax are heavily favored with an 88% form advantage and 83% superior defense, along with a perfect 100% H2H metric that all point towards a Home Win. Past head-to-heads, Ajax have consistently outperformed Willem II, such as winning 2-1 and 5-0 in recent encounters. Season stats bolster this confidence with Ajax averaging 2.7 goals per game compared to Willem II’s 1.3. Despite a minor risk that double chance could cover draws, the alignment of multiple metrics gives high confidence for a Home Win. The probability is set at 92% based on robust data. This pick is supported by direct comparison stats and recent form evidence.

Best Value

Ajax to Score First

Team to Score First

The data suggests Ajax are highly likely to score first, with a 90% probability backed by a 100% H2H metric and a superior last-5 form of 78% compared to only 11% for Willem II. Season stats also highlight Ajax’s attacking prowess with an average of 2.7 goals. The convergence of metrics indicates strong value edge on this market. This option carries a value edge of 30% or more, making it an optimal play. Although any prediction carries inherent risks, the alignment here is very promising.

90%

prob.

1.11

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Home Win

Home form 88% and H2H 100%

92%

odds 1.09

Double Chance

Home or Draw

H2H 100% and home form 88%

95%

odds 1.05

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Ajax
Ajax
No data
Willem II
Willem II
LLWWD

Current Standings

5
Ajax
Ajax
7 P 4 W 14 Pts
18
Willem II
Willem II
7 P 0 W 2 Pts

Head to Head

15 Sept 26
Ajax Ajax
5–1
Willem II Willem II
H
13 Apr 25
Willem II Willem II
1–2
Ajax Ajax
A
27 Oct 24
Ajax Ajax
1–0
Willem II Willem II
H
19 Feb 22
Willem II Willem II
0–1
Ajax Ajax
A
2 Dec 21
Ajax Ajax
5–0
Willem II Willem II
H

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
7 6 19
2
Feyenoord Feyenoord
7 5 17
3
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven
7 5 16
4
Twente Twente
7 5 16
5
Ajax Ajax
7 4 14
6
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard
7 4 13
7
Excelsior Excelsior
7 3 11
8
Groningen Groningen
7 3 11
9
GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles
7 2 10
10
Heerenveen Heerenveen
7 2 9
11
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
7 2 8
12
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam
7 1 5
13
Telstar Telstar
7 1 5
14
Cambuur Cambuur
7 1 5
15
Utrecht Utrecht
7 1 5
16
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
7 1 4
17
ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag
7 0 2
18
Willem II Willem II
7 0 2
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation

Betting Odds

Match Winner

Ajax

1.10

Draw

9.00

Willem II

21.00

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.22

Under 2.5

4.20

Both Teams Score

Yes

1.80

No

1.95

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