Football
Serie A Serie A
· Regular Season - 6
Napoli

Napoli

vs

Not Started

Frosinone

Frosinone

🏟 Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Naples
📋 Regular Season - 6
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Napoli or Draw

Double Chance

80%

confidence

Odds: 1.25 calculated Medium Risk

Our best bet is Double Chance: Napoli or Draw with an 80% probability. Napoli’s head‐to‐head record shows a 71% home advantage and they have not failed to score (0% FT), which adds resilience. Despite Napoli’s league form of only 33% compared to Frosinone’s 67%, the double chance covers potential upsets. Season data indicates Napoli scored 5 goals in 3 fixtures at home with an average of 1.0, while historical metrics and H2H evidence support a safer outcome. This convergence of H2H (71%) and season stats provides a robust safety net. The risk is kept medium given the contrasting away form of Frosinone.

Best Value

Yes

BTTS

The best optimal pick is BTTS: Yes with an 82% probability and strong value edge. Napoli’s season stats show they failed to score in 0% of matches, while Frosinone averages 2.0 goals in their last 5 games. H2H matches such as a 2-2 draw and high scoring wins underline both teams’ offensive capabilities. Comparison metrics further highlight Frosinone’s 55% attacking and Napoli’s reliable goal production despite a 33% league form. Multiple independent lines of evidence, including a 100% Poisson for the away side, converge to support both teams finding the net. This market offers a value rating of 5, indicating a value edge of at least 30%.

82%

prob.

1.22

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Napoli Win

Napoli home form 33% vs Frosinone away form 67%

70%

odds 1.43

Double Chance

Napoli or Draw

Napoli H2H advantage at 71% and 0% failed-to-score

80%

odds 1.25

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Napoli
Napoli
WWDWW
Frosinone
Frosinone
LWLDD

Current Standings

6
Frosinone
Frosinone
5 P 3 W 10 Pts
9
Napoli
Napoli
5 P 2 W 7 Pts

Head to Head

14 Apr 24
Napoli Napoli
2–2
Frosinone Frosinone
D
19 Dec 23
Napoli Napoli
0–4
Frosinone Frosinone
A
19 Aug 23
Frosinone Frosinone
1–3
Napoli Napoli
A
28 Apr 19
Frosinone Frosinone
0–2
Napoli Napoli
A
8 Dec 18
Napoli Napoli
4–0
Frosinone Frosinone
H

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Betting Odds

Match Winner

Napoli

1.44

Draw

4.33

Frosinone

6.50

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.62

Under 2.5

2.30

Both Teams Score

Yes

1.80

No

1.95

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