Fiorentina
Full Time
Napoli
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Napoli Win
3-Way Result
90%
confidence
Our analysis strongly favors Napoli as the match winner with multiple metrics in agreement. The comparison metrics show Napoli with 100% form and 93% h2h advantage, while Fiorentina lags with 0% form. H2H evidence over 8 recent meetings further reinforces this with Napoli winning most encounters (e.g. a 2-1 victory and a 3-0 win). Season stats also reveal Napoli’s superior attacking numbers, having scored 5 goals in their last 3 matches compared to Fiorentina’s 0.3 goals per game. Additionally, Napoli’s away attack (83%) is far more potent compared to Fiorentina’s 17%. Given these converging data points, we have high confidence in a Napoli win. However, minor risks remain given sporadic scoring variations.
Best Value
Napoli
Home/Away
For optimal value, the Home/Away market provides a compelling edge on Napoli with a strong convergence of evidence. Napoli’s attacking metrics (83% attack and 86% Poisson distribution away) and recent H2H results largely support their advantage. Season statistics further back this with Napoli’s consistent scoring (1.7 goals average away) compared to Fiorentina’s 0.3 at home. This option offers a calculated value edge with odds of 1.53 and an implied probability adjustment. With a probability estimated at 88%, the value edge exceeds 30%, making this bet attractive. While some uncertainty exists around defensive vulnerabilities, the overall data hold a solid alignment. This renders it a best optimal value pick.
88%
prob.
1.53
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Napoli Win
Napoli h2h at 93% vs Fiorentina at 7%
90%
odds 2.15
Double Chance
Draw/Away
Napoli attack at 83% vs Fiorentina attack at 17%
85%
odds 1.33
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
Head to Head
Fiorentina Napoli Napoli Fiorentina Fiorentina Napoli Napoli Fiorentina Fiorentina Napoli +5 more H2H results in the app
Download Free →League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AS Roma | 5 | 4 | 13 |
| 2 |  Inter | 5 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 |  Lazio | 5 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 |  Cagliari | 5 | 4 | 12 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 5 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 5 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 5 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 |  Como | 5 | 3 | 10 |
| 9 | Napoli ● | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 |  Sassuolo | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 11 |  Atalanta | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lecce | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 13 |  Udinese | 5 | 1 | 4 |
| 14 |  Torino | 5 | 1 | 4 |
| 15 |  Parma | 5 | 1 | 4 |
| 16 |  Monza | 5 | 1 | 4 |
| 17 | Fiorentina ● | 5 | 1 | 4 |
| 18 |  Bologna | 5 | 0 | 2 |
| 19 |  Genoa | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 5 | 0 | 0 |
Betting Odds
Match Winner
Fiorentina
3.20
Draw
3.40
Napoli
2.25
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
1.80
Under 2.5
2.00
Both Teams Score
Yes
1.67
No
2.10
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