Football
Serie A Serie A
· Regular Season - 5
AC Milan

AC Milan

3–0

Full Time

Lecce

Lecce

🏟 San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
🟡 Federico La Penna, Italy
📋 Regular Season - 5
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Home Win

3-Way Result

92%

confidence

Odds: 1.09 calculated Low Risk

AC Milan show overwhelming superiority with a 70% form advantage and 100% head-to-head dominance, as they have won the majority of their meetings. Their offensive and defensive metrics (71% attack and 67% defense) reinforce the likelihood of a Home Win. Season stats further support this with Milan consistently scoring and keeping clean sheets. The H2H evidence, including a 1-0 win in fixture 1378068, bolsters confidence. The risk remains low given the alignment of metrics and historical data. Considering all factors, Home Win is our strongest pick with high overall confidence.

Best Value

Home/Draw

Double Chance

Double Chance - Home or Draw stands out with a convergence of evidence from comparison metrics and H2H results. With a total home fixture percentage of 73.5% and dominant head-to-head records, AC Milan remain highly likely to avoid a loss. Both team season stats and recent form strongly indicate minimal risk. The probability for this option is 95%, providing an attractive value opportunity. This bet carries a robust edge with consistent alignment across multiple metrics. We assign a value rating of 5, representing a ≥30% value edge.

95%

prob.

1.05

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Home Win

H2H 100% advantage; form 70% vs 30%

92%

odds 1.09

Double Chance

Home/Draw

Total home percentage 73.5% vs 26.5%

95%

odds 1.05

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

AC Milan
AC Milan
WWLDD
Lecce
Lecce
LWWDL

Current Standings

5
AC Milan
AC Milan
5 P 3 W 11 Pts
12
Lecce
Lecce
5 P 2 W 6 Pts

Head to Head

20 Sept 26
AC Milan AC Milan
3–0
Lecce Lecce
H
18 Jan 26
AC Milan AC Milan
1–0
Lecce Lecce
H
23 Sept 25
AC Milan AC Milan
3–0
Lecce Lecce
H
29 Aug 25
Lecce Lecce
0–2
AC Milan AC Milan
A
8 Mar 25
Lecce Lecce
2–3
AC Milan AC Milan
A

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
AS Roma AS Roma
5 4 13
2
Inter Inter
5 4 13
3
Lazio Lazio
5 4 13
4
Cagliari Cagliari
5 4 12
5
AC Milan AC Milan
5 3 11
6
Frosinone Frosinone
5 3 10
7
Juventus Juventus
5 3 10
8
Como Como
5 3 10
9
Napoli Napoli
5 2 7
10
Sassuolo Sassuolo
5 2 7
11
Atalanta Atalanta
5 2 6
12
Lecce Lecce
5 2 6
13
Udinese Udinese
5 1 4
14
Torino Torino
5 1 4
15
Parma Parma
5 1 4
16
Monza Monza
5 1 4
17
Fiorentina Fiorentina
5 1 4
18
Bologna Bologna
5 0 2
19
Genoa Genoa
5 0 1
20
Venezia Venezia
5 0 0
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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