Football
HNL HNL
· Regular Season - 6
HNK Rijeka

HNK Rijeka

4–1

Full Time

NK Osijek

NK Osijek

🏟 Stadion HNK Rijeka, Rijeka
🟡 Mateo Erceg, Croatia
📋 Regular Season - 6
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Away Win or Draw

Double Chance

90%

confidence

Odds: 1.11 calculated Low Risk

The data converges on an away advantage with NK Osijek having a dominant 71% in H2H and 100% in both their defense and Poisson metrics. Additionally, their recent league win and solid performance outweigh HNK Rijeka's weaker defense (0%). The overall evidence from comparison metrics and season stats points to an outcome favoring NK Osijek. The double chance market, covering Away Win or Draw, provides extra safety with a 90% probability. Even though some metrics are balanced, the convergence of away metrics and H2H history supports this pick. Given these factors, this bet is chosen as the best bet with high confidence.

Best Value

Away Win

3-Way Result

Using a value perspective, the 3-Way Result market for an Away Win shows substantial backing from multiple metrics. H2H data shows a 71% preference for the away side, and the Poisson distribution is 100% in favor of NK Osijek, while league data supports away goal-scoring consistency. This convergence of evidence suggests a strong edge, and despite only an 85% probability, the odds of 1.18 provide an attractive value edge. The evidence from both comparison metrics and season performance underpins this pick. Given these factors, this option is selected as the best optimal value.

85%

prob.

1.18

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Away Win

H2H away advantage at 71% and Poisson at 100%

85%

odds 1.18

Double Chance

Away Win or Draw

Defensive metrics: Away 100% vs Home 0%

90%

odds 1.11

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

HNK Rijeka
HNK Rijeka
LWLLD
NK Osijek
NK Osijek
LWWWL

League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb
7 5 16
2
HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split
8 5 16
3
NK Osijek NK Osijek
8 5 16
4
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin
8 4 15
5
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka
7 4 14
6
Istra 1961 Istra 1961
8 2 9
7
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
8 2 7
8
NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo
8 2 7
9
HNK Gorica HNK Gorica
8 1 5
10
Rudes Rudes
8 1 4
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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