The 3-Way market heavily favors an away win with decisive metrics: 100% in head-to-head results and an 83% advantage in the goals comparison, even though Athletic Club shows a 59% form at home. Multiple independent factors, including a 67% Poisson expectation for the away team and provider away win probability of 60.2%, converge on a Novorizontino win. This alignment across H2H, goals, and Poisson metrics lends considerable confidence to the pick. With bookmaker odds of 2.60 and an estimated 80% probability, this constitutes our highest confidence pick. A caution remains due to mixed season form percentages.