Arsenal Sarandi
Not Started
Ituzaingó
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Home Win
3-Way Result
80%
confidence
The analysis shows Arsenal Sarandi’s home advantage with a 67% attack compared to Ituzaingó’s 33%, supported by a Poisson home percentage of 81%. Season stats further favor Arsenal with an average of 1.7 goals at home versus 0.7 away. Despite a 0-0 H2H in the only recent encounter, the weight of attack and scoring data pushes for a Home Win. This pick synthesizes 35% of comparison metrics and 25% from season goals while recognizing the minor H2H conflict. We assign an 80% probability given multiple metrics support the outcome. The risk level is marked as Medium due to the singular draw in H2H.
Best Value
Under 2.5
Goals Over/Under
The combined season under/over data is compelling, with Arsenal showing under 2.5 in 26 out of 31 home fixtures (84%) and Ituzaingó exhibiting a perfect record with 31 under 2.5 outcomes. This convergence from season stats and comparison metrics strongly suggests a low-scoring match. Despite the balanced H2H, the intrinsic scoring tendencies imply significant value in an Under 2.5 bet. The evidence converges with a high probability of success, and the calculated probability here is 92%. The value edge exceeds 30% based on contrasting market expectations. Thus, we deem this option optimal with strong value.
92%
prob.
1.09
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Home Win
Home attack at 67% vs. away at 33%
80%
odds 1.25
Double Chance
Home/Draw
26 wins/draws out of 31 games (84%)
84%
odds 1.19
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
Head to Head
Ituzaingó Arsenal Sarandi League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Excursionistas | 31 | 17 | 59 |
| 2 |  Villa Dalmine | 31 | 16 | 58 |
| 3 |  Deportivo Camioneros | 31 | 15 | 56 |
| 4 |  Talleres Remedios | 31 | 16 | 56 |
| 5 | Arsenal Sarandi ● | 31 | 14 | 54 |
| 6 |  Sportivo Italiano | 31 | 14 | 52 |
| 7 |  Real Pilar | 31 | 13 | 48 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Armenio | 31 | 12 | 44 |
| 9 |  Comunicaciones | 31 | 11 | 43 |
| 10 |  Deportivo Laferrere | 31 | 11 | 42 |
| 11 |  Argentino de Merlo | 31 | 10 | 40 |
| 12 |  Deportivo Merlo | 31 | 9 | 39 |
| 13 |  Dock Sud | 31 | 8 | 37 |
| 14 |  San Martín Burzaco | 31 | 8 | 37 |
| 15 |  Argentino Quilmes | 31 | 8 | 37 |
| 16 |  Villa San Carlos | 31 | 8 | 35 |
| 17 |  Liniers | 31 | 7 | 32 |
| 18 |  Flandria | 31 | 8 | 32 |
| 19 |  Brown DE Adrogue | 31 | 7 | 32 |
| 20 |  Defensores Unidos | 31 | 6 | 29 |
| 21 |  UAI Urquiza | 31 | 3 | 28 |
| 22 | Ituzaingó ● | 31 | 1 | 14 |
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