Platense
Newells Old Boys
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Away Win
3-Way Result
85%
confidence
The comparison metrics heavily favor Newells Old Boys with a 64% h2h advantage over 36% and better goals percentage (63% vs 38%). Recent H2H outcomes like a 2-0 and a 3-1 win for Newells further validate this trend. Their last-5 form stands at 60% compared to Platense’s 53%, supporting an away win call. While evidence from multiple metrics converges, the probability remains moderate, so risk is Medium-High. Overall, the alignment of 5 key stats justifies an 85% confidence in an Away Win in the 3-Way Result market.
Best Value
Under 2.5
Goals Over/Under
Seasonal under/over thresholds show both teams have a strong record for under 2.5 goals with Platense recording 23 under in 24 home matches and Newells mirroring similar stats. Comparison metrics indicate a conservative scoring trend with Poisson distributions of 42% for Platense and 58% for Newells. H2H results confirm frequent low-scoring outcomes, including several goalless or 1-1 draws. This convergence of evidence supports a high 90% probability for Under 2.5. With a value edge estimated at 30%+ from the under counts and a fallback odds of 1.11, this pick presents clear optimal value.
90%
prob.
1.11
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Away Win
Away h2h 64% vs home 36%
85%
odds 1.18
Double Chance
Away or Draw
Away form 53% vs home 47%
88%
odds 1.14
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 31 |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 30 |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 28 |
| 4 |  Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 26 |
| 5 |  Independiente | 16 | 6 | 24 |
| 6 |  Lanus | 16 | 6 | 24 |
| 7 |  San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 22 |
| 8 |  Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 21 |
| 9 |  Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 21 |
| 10 |  Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 19 |
| 11 |  Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense ● | 16 | 3 | 16 |
| 13 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys ● | 16 | 3 | 15 |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 11 |
| 1 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 34 |
| 2 |  River Plate | 16 | 9 | 29 |
| 3 |  Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 29 |
| 4 |  Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 28 |
| 5 |  Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 26 |
| 6 |  Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 8 | 26 |
| 7 |  Huracan | 16 | 5 | 22 |
| 8 |  Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 21 |
| 9 |  Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 21 |
| 10 |  Tigre | 16 | 4 | 20 |
| 11 |  Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 19 |
| 12 |  Banfield | 16 | 5 | 18 |
| 13 |  Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 14 |
| 14 |  Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 |
| 15 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 5 |
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 10 | 7 | 22 |
| 2 | Defensa Y Justicia | 10 | 5 | 18 |
| 3 | Gimnasia M. | 10 | 5 | 17 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 9 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | Boca Juniors | 10 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | Independiente | 10 | 5 | 17 |
| 7 | Newells Old Boys ● | 10 | 4 | 16 |
| 8 | Lanus | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| 9 | Union Santa Fe | 10 | 4 | 13 |
| 10 | San Lorenzo | 10 | 3 | 11 |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. | 9 | 3 | 10 |
| 12 | Deportivo Riestra | 10 | 2 | 10 |
| 13 | Platense ● | 10 | 2 | 9 |
| 14 | Talleres Cordoba | 10 | 2 | 8 |
| 15 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 10 | 2 | 8 |
| 1 | Argentinos JRS | 10 | 5 | 18 |
| 2 | Rosario Central | 10 | 5 | 18 |
| 3 | Gimnasia L.P. | 10 | 5 | 17 |
| 4 | Huracan | 10 | 4 | 16 |
| 5 | Sarmiento Junin | 10 | 5 | 16 |
| 6 | Independ. Rivadavia | 9 | 4 | 14 |
| 7 | Belgrano Cordoba | 9 | 3 | 13 |
| 8 | Atletico Tucuman | 9 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | River Plate | 10 | 4 | 13 |
| 10 | Tigre | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| 11 | Barracas Central | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| 12 | Banfield | 10 | 2 | 9 |
| 13 | Racing Club | 10 | 2 | 8 |
| 14 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 9 | 1 | 6 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 9 | 1 | 5 |
Betting Odds
Match Winner
Platense
2.25
Draw
2.88
Newells Old Boys
3.75
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
2.88
Under 2.5
1.40
Both Teams Score
Yes
2.25
No
1.57
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