Football
Premier Division Premier Division
· Regular Season - 35
Derry City

Derry City

vs

Not Started

Dundalk

Dundalk

🏟 The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Derry
📋 Regular Season - 35
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Home Win

3-Way Result

78%

confidence

Odds: 1.28 calculated Medium Risk

Derry City show strong home indicators with a 67% form and 62% h2h advantage, reinforced by a 61% attack compared to Dundalk's 39%. Their last-5 form of 53% and 8 clean sheets add weight to a Home Win prediction despite occasional draws. Multiple metrics including Poisson (58% home) converge to support this pick. A conservative probability of 78% is assigned, acknowledging some risk in unpredictable cup fixtures.

Best Value

Under 2.5

Goals Over/Under

Both teams have shown a strong tendency for low-scoring matches; the under 2.5 marker is supported by season under_over stats with 27 instances under versus only 4 overs. Comparison metrics favor a controlled game with 58% of goals predicted for home, and H2H evidence indicates a prevalence of under results. This convergence delivers a high probability of 87% for Under 2.5 with a robust value edge. Although slight scoring variability exists, the evidence provides a clear value opportunity.

87%

prob.

1.15

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Home Win

67% home form

78%

odds 1.28

Double Chance

Home or Draw

12 favorable outcomes in 15 home fixtures (80%)

80%

odds 1.25

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Derry City
Derry City
LWWDL
Dundalk
Dundalk
LWLDD

Current Standings

4
Derry City
Derry City
32 P 9 W 41 Pts
5
Dundalk
Dundalk
32 P 10 W 41 Pts

Head to Head

6 Sept 26
Derry City Derry City
4–2
Dundalk Dundalk
H
29 May 26
Dundalk Dundalk
2–1
Derry City Derry City
H
10 Apr 26
Dundalk Dundalk
2–2
Derry City Derry City
D
13 Feb 26
Derry City Derry City
2–2
Dundalk Dundalk
D
18 Oct 24
Dundalk Dundalk
0–2
Derry City Derry City
A

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl.
32 17 59
2
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
31 17 59
3
Bohemians Bohemians
31 16 56
4
Derry City Derry City
32 9 41
5
Dundalk Dundalk
32 10 41
6
Shelbourne Shelbourne
31 9 39
7
Galway United Galway United
31 9 37
8
Waterford Waterford
32 7 34
9
Drogheda United Drogheda United
32 8 34
10
Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers
32 5 23
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
🏀 🎾 🏈

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