Derry City
Not Started
St Patrick's Athl.
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Home Win
3-Way Result
78%
confidence
Our best bet is a 3-Way Result with a Home Win, as Derry City show a 64% advantage in H2H and a 53% edge in the Poisson distribution, while their attack stands at 59% compared to St Patrick's 41%. The comparison metrics and season stats (home goals average of 1.6 for Derry City) support this pick even though St Patrick's form in the last 5 is 60%. H2H evidence strengthens the case with consistent draws and wins at home for Derry City. This pick comes with moderate risk due to some defensive concerns but overall convergence of evidence lifts confidence.
Best Value
Home or Draw
Double Chance
The best optimal value is the Double Chance of Home or Draw with a convergence from H2H (64% in favour of the home side) and defensive comparison (Derry City at 29% vs St Patrick’s at 71%) supporting risk mitigation. The recent season data indicates Derry City have 5 clean sheets at home and a lower failed-to-score rate, further enhancing security. This market offers a value edge with coverage of two outcomes and a solid probability of 85%. While there is risk from St Patrick's recent superior last-5 form of 60%, the overall evidence drives the value pick.
85%
prob.
1.18
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Home Win
Home win H2H at 64% and attack 59% vs 41%
78%
odds 1.28
Double Chance
Home or Draw
Derry’s 5 home clean sheets and 64% H2H advantage
85%
odds 1.18
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Patrick's Athl. ● | 32 | 17 | 59 |
| 2 |  Shamrock Rovers | 31 | 17 | 59 |
| 3 |  Bohemians | 31 | 16 | 56 |
| 4 | Derry City ● | 32 | 9 | 41 |
| 5 |  Dundalk | 32 | 10 | 41 |
| 6 |  Shelbourne | 31 | 9 | 39 |
| 7 |  Galway United | 31 | 9 | 37 |
| 8 |  Waterford | 32 | 7 | 34 |
| 9 |  Drogheda United | 32 | 8 | 34 |
| 10 |  Sligo Rovers | 32 | 5 | 23 |
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