Football
Premier Division Premier Division
· Regular Season - 30
Shelbourne

Shelbourne

1–2

Full Time

Drogheda United

Drogheda United

🏟 Tolka Park, Dublin
📋 Regular Season - 30
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Under 2.5

Goals Over/Under

85%

confidence

Odds: 1.18 calculated Low Risk

The evidence strongly supports a low-scoring affair with under 2.5 goals. Shelbourne’s under 2.5 record shows 23 instances under, while Drogheda’s similar threshold registers 22 under occurrences. The comparison metrics favor home attack (67% vs 33%) and last-5 stats highlight a 1.6 goal average for Shelbourne versus 0.8 for Drogheda. Despite mixed H2H results, season data converges for fewer goals. The overall probability is 85%, reflecting convergence from season and threshold metrics. The risk remains low given these multiple indicators.

Best Value

Home or Draw

Double Chance

Our analysis identifies double chance (Home or Draw) as the value bet with converging evidence from league form and recent performance. Shelbourne’s last-5 home form stands at 53% compared to Drogheda’s 27% away form, supporting a dual outcome. The comparison metrics favor home attack at 67% and consistent league results add strength to this prediction. With a probability of 80% and an inferred value edge of 30%, the bet presents a compelling opportunity. Although H2H results introduce some variability, the overall evidence mitigates risk. This bet is thus optimally positioned for value.

80%

prob.

1.25

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Home Win

Shelbourne last-5 form at 53% vs Drogheda at 27%

75%

odds 1.33

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Home last-5 form at 53% vs away 27%

80%

odds 1.25

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Shelbourne
Shelbourne
No data
Drogheda United
Drogheda United
LWDDD

Current Standings

6
Shelbourne
Shelbourne
31 P 9 W 39 Pts
9
Drogheda United
Drogheda United
32 P 8 W 34 Pts

Head to Head

14 Sept 26
Shelbourne Shelbourne
1–2
Drogheda United Drogheda United
A
19 Jun 26
Drogheda United Drogheda United
2–2
Shelbourne Shelbourne
D
24 Apr 26
Shelbourne Shelbourne
3–4
Drogheda United Drogheda United
A
27 Feb 26
Drogheda United Drogheda United
1–2
Shelbourne Shelbourne
A
22 Sept 25
Drogheda United Drogheda United
2–1
Shelbourne Shelbourne
H

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl.
32 17 59
2
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
31 17 59
3
Bohemians Bohemians
31 16 56
4
Derry City Derry City
32 9 41
5
Dundalk Dundalk
32 10 41
6
Shelbourne Shelbourne
31 9 39
7
Galway United Galway United
31 9 37
8
Waterford Waterford
32 7 34
9
Drogheda United Drogheda United
32 8 34
10
Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers
32 5 23
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation

Betting Odds

Match Winner

Shelbourne

1.83

Draw

3.50

Drogheda United

3.80

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.85

Under 2.5

1.95

Both Teams Score

Yes

1.75

No

2.00

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