Football
Premier Division Premier Division
· Regular Season - 29
Derry City

Derry City

3–3

Full Time

Shamrock Rovers

Shamrock Rovers

🏟 The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Derry
🟡 P. Norton
📋 Regular Season - 29
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Under 2.5

Goals Over/Under

90%

confidence

Odds: 1.11 calculated Low Risk

The Under 2.5 goals market stands out with overwhelming historical evidence; Derry City’s under count is 23 out of 25 matches (92%) and Shamrock Rovers show 21 under 2.5 outcomes (84%). Combined with season averages of 1.3 and 1.6 goals respectively, these stats back a low-scoring match. Comparison metrics (Poisson 44% home, 56% away) and mixed H2H results further support few goals. Despite conflicting form (41% for Derry City vs 59% for Shamrock), the data converges on a tight affair, making Under 2.5 a high-confidence outcome with minimal risk.

Best Value

Shamrock Rovers or Draw

Double Chance

Double Chance for Shamrock Rovers or Draw shows considerable value given the strong away form; Shamrock Rovers have a last-5 form of 67% and a solid season record with 15 wins out of 25 fixtures. In contrast, Derry City’s form is only 41% and mixed H2H evidence suggests neither side dominating fully. These divergent metrics and season stats support a safer bet with a value edge. With converging evidence leading to an 80% probability, this option has a robust value rating.

80%

prob.

1.25

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Draw

H2H draws occurred in 4 out of 10 matches (40%)

65%

odds 1.54

Double Chance

Shamrock Rovers or Draw

Shamrock Rovers last-5 form at 67% vs Derry City at 47%

80%

odds 1.25

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Derry City
Derry City
LWWDL
Shamrock Rovers
Shamrock Rovers
No data

Current Standings

2
Shamrock Rovers
Shamrock Rovers
31 P 17 W 59 Pts
4
Derry City
Derry City
32 P 9 W 41 Pts

League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl.
32 17 59
2
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
31 17 59
3
Bohemians Bohemians
31 16 56
4
Derry City Derry City
32 9 41
5
Dundalk Dundalk
32 10 41
6
Shelbourne Shelbourne
31 9 39
7
Galway United Galway United
31 9 37
8
Waterford Waterford
32 7 34
9
Drogheda United Drogheda United
32 8 34
10
Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers
32 5 23
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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