Football
Premier Division Premier Division
· Regular Season - 29
Derry City

Derry City

vs

Not Started

Shamrock Rovers

Shamrock Rovers

🏟 The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Derry
📋 Regular Season - 29
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Under 2.5

Goals Over/Under

90%

confidence

Odds: 1.11 calculated Low Risk

The Under 2.5 goals market stands out with overwhelming historical evidence; Derry City’s under count is 23 out of 25 matches (92%) and Shamrock Rovers show 21 under 2.5 outcomes (84%). Combined with season averages of 1.3 and 1.6 goals respectively, these stats back a low-scoring match. Comparison metrics (Poisson 44% home, 56% away) and mixed H2H results further support few goals. Despite conflicting form (41% for Derry City vs 59% for Shamrock), the data converges on a tight affair, making Under 2.5 a high-confidence outcome with minimal risk.

Best Value

Shamrock Rovers or Draw

Double Chance

Double Chance for Shamrock Rovers or Draw shows considerable value given the strong away form; Shamrock Rovers have a last-5 form of 67% and a solid season record with 15 wins out of 25 fixtures. In contrast, Derry City’s form is only 41% and mixed H2H evidence suggests neither side dominating fully. These divergent metrics and season stats support a safer bet with a value edge. With converging evidence leading to an 80% probability, this option has a robust value rating.

80%

prob.

1.25

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Draw

H2H draws occurred in 4 out of 10 matches (40%)

65%

odds 1.54

Double Chance

Shamrock Rovers or Draw

Shamrock Rovers last-5 form at 67% vs Derry City at 47%

80%

odds 1.25

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Derry City
Derry City
WDLWL
Shamrock Rovers
Shamrock Rovers
No data

Head to Head

22 Jun 26
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
1–1
Derry City Derry City
D
24 Apr 26
Derry City Derry City
1–0
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
H
6 Mar 26
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
1–0
Derry City Derry City
H
31 Jan 26
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
0–1
Derry City Derry City
A
26 Oct 25
Derry City Derry City
2–1
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
H

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
25 15 50
2
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl.
25 12 43
3
Bohemians Bohemians
25 12 43
4
Dundalk Dundalk
25 9 36
5
Shelbourne Shelbourne
24 8 34
6
Derry City Derry City
25 6 29
7
Galway United Galway United
24 7 28
8
Drogheda United Drogheda United
25 6 26
9
Waterford Waterford
25 4 22
10
Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers
25 5 21
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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