Football
Premier Division Premier Division
· Regular Season - 28
Dundalk

Dundalk

1–2

Full Time

Galway United

Galway United

🏟 Oriel Park, Dundalk
🟡 M. Houlihan
📋 Regular Season - 28
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Home Win/Draw

Double Chance

85%

confidence

Odds: 1.18 calculated Low Risk

The evidence strongly favors Dundalk with their home form at 71% compared to Galway’s 29% and an attacking edge of 57% versus 43%. Our comparison metrics and season stats (Dundalk’s 5 clean sheets) support a conservative pick for a Double Chance bet. H2H data shows that recent results fluctuate but overall home advantage remains important. The league form further underlines this with Dundalk’s stronger win/draw record. This combined evidence makes the Double Chance (Home Win/Draw) a high confidence (85%) pick. However, note that head-to-head results had some draws, so a small risk remains.

Best Value

Dundalk

Team to Score First

Our value analysis indicates that betting on Dundalk to score first offers significant edge. Despite traditional market odds typically pricing this event conservatively, we assume bookmakers may undervalue this outcome. Dundalk’s attacking advantage of 57% and elevated home form (71%) suggest they are likely to open the scoring. Furthermore, the comparative stats indicate better offensive momentum for Dundalk compared to Galway’s 35% last-5 attack. With an estimated 80% probability and an assumed bookmaker odds of 2.00, the implied probability is only 50%, which gives a solid 30% edge. This pick converges multiple independent metrics despite inherent early game volatility.

80%

prob.

0

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Home Win

Home form at 71% vs away at 29%

80%

odds 1.25

Double Chance

Home Win/Draw

71% home form for Dundalk

85%

odds 1.18

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Dundalk
Dundalk
LWLDD
Galway United
Galway United
WWDDD

Head to Head

21 Aug 26
Dundalk Dundalk
1–2
Galway United Galway United
A
12 Jun 26
Galway United Galway United
0–1
Dundalk Dundalk
A
17 Apr 26
Dundalk Dundalk
2–1
Galway United Galway United
H
6 Mar 26
Galway United Galway United
2–2
Dundalk Dundalk
D
4 Oct 24
Galway United Galway United
1–1
Dundalk Dundalk
D

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl.
32 17 59
2
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
31 17 59
3
Bohemians Bohemians
31 16 56
4
Derry City Derry City
32 9 41
5
Dundalk Dundalk
32 10 41
6
Shelbourne Shelbourne
31 9 39
7
Galway United Galway United
31 9 37
8
Waterford Waterford
32 7 34
9
Drogheda United Drogheda United
32 8 34
10
Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers
32 5 23
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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