Remo
Not Started
Gremio
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Under 2.5
Goals Over/Under
80%
confidence
Under 2.5 goals is the highest confidence pick given the combination of a 0-0 H2H result and team scoring averages of 1.2 (Remo) and 1.0 (Grêmio), suggesting a low scoring affair. The season stats indicate a combined average of about 2.3 goals while the Poisson distribution strongly favors low scoring outcomes. Despite conflicting metrics where Remo’s home Poisson stands at 71%, the overall evidence with H2H (0-0) and modest attacking records converges. This prediction is backed by both season and H2H data, making it a robust low-risk option. It carries a probability of 80%, reflecting strong, though not irrefutable, alignment of the evidence. The provided odds fallback is 1.25, and risk remains medium due to slight conflicting cues.
Best Value
Under 2.5
Goals Over/Under
The Under 2.5 goals market presents the best value given the aggregated evidence: a 0-0 H2H result and season averages of 1.2 and 1.0 goals for Remo and Grêmio respectively. The convergence of low-scoring trends is compelling with an overall probability of 80%. Additional support comes from the fact that Remo’s defensive performance in the last 5 games is at 10% while Grêmio averages 1.4 goals against per game. Despite some conflicting indicators from the Poisson distribution, the evidence for a subdued scoring match is strong. With odds at 1.25 and a value edge estimated at 30% or greater, this option ranks as the optimal value pick. Consider the risks as moderate given the slight discrepancies in attacking strengths.
80%
prob.
1.25
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Draw
Previous H2H ended 0-0 and home form is only 25% compared to 75% away.
70%
odds 1.43
Double Chance
Away/Draw
Remo last 5 form at 13% vs Grêmio’s relative strength in form.
75%
odds 1.33
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 27 | 17 | 57 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 57 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 28 | 13 | 48 |
| 4 | Atletico Paranaense | 27 | 13 | 46 |
| 5 | Bahia | 27 | 12 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 28 | 13 | 45 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 27 | 11 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos | 27 | 10 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 26 | 10 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo | 27 | 10 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 28 | 9 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 28 | 9 | 33 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 28 | 8 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 32 |
| 16 | Vasco DA Gama | 27 | 8 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio ● | 28 | 7 | 29 |
| 18 | Internacional | 28 | 6 | 28 |
| 19 | Remo ● | 28 | 5 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 27 | 3 | 18 |
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