Atletico-MG
Full Time
Chapecoense-sc
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Home/Draw
Double Chance
85%
confidence
Double Chance (Home/Draw) stands out with strong underlying evidence: Atletico-MG’s home form is 69% and the poisson metric gives 74% in favor, while the head-to-head advantage at 62% further supports this. Additionally, Atletico-MG’s league home record (6 wins out of 11) and clean sheets (3 at home) boost confidence. This bet covers the potential draw risk and aligns with multiple independent metrics. Although there is a slight risk from unpredictable draws, the overall convergence of evidence makes this a solid pick.
Best Value
Atletico-MG
Team to Score First
Team to Score First is promising as Atletico-MG typically takes the initiative, supported by a home goal average of 1.7 and a notable home attack metric of 53%. The disparity with Chapecoense’s away goal average of only 0.7 strengthens this view. With an 80% probability and significant edge indicated by mispricing, this market converges multiple factors: strong home form and favorable head-to-head trends. While there is inherent variability in which team fires the opening goal, the value edge of 30% or more justifies this selection.
80%
prob.
1.25
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Home Win
Home form at 69% and 74% poisson favor
75%
odds 1.33
Double Chance
Home/Draw
Home form 69% and 62% h2h advantage
85%
odds 1.18
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 27 | 17 | 57 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 57 |
| 3 |  Fluminense | 28 | 13 | 48 |
| 4 |  Atletico Paranaense | 27 | 13 | 46 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 27 | 12 | 46 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 28 | 13 | 45 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG ● | 27 | 11 | 40 |
| 8 |  Santos | 27 | 10 | 38 |
| 9 |  Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 38 |
| 10 |  RB Bragantino | 26 | 10 | 36 |
| 11 |  Sao Paulo | 27 | 10 | 36 |
| 12 |  Botafogo | 28 | 9 | 35 |
| 13 |  Vitoria | 28 | 9 | 33 |
| 14 |  Corinthians | 28 | 8 | 32 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 32 |
| 16 |  Vasco DA Gama | 27 | 8 | 31 |
| 17 |  Gremio | 28 | 7 | 29 |
| 18 |  Internacional | 28 | 6 | 28 |
| 19 |  Remo | 28 | 5 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc ● | 27 | 3 | 18 |
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