St. Louis City
Full Time
Toronto FC
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Home Win or Draw
Double Chance
85%
confidence
The data strongly support a safe outcome using Double Chance as St. Louis City boasts a superior home form with 6 wins out of 11 games and a defensive edge (56% vs Toronto's 44%). The comparison metrics show a balanced form (50%-50%) but the aggregated season data favor the home team. In addition, historical H2H for home is at 100% and Toronto’s poor away record (only 2 wins in 10 away fixtures) backs the bet. Although some risk exists on low-scoring contests, the evidence converges on Home Win or Draw with a clear probability of 85%.
Best Value
Home Win
3-Way Result
The 3-Way Result market offers notable value when the home team is predicted to win with strong support from multiple independent data. The comparison metrics indicate a full 100% favor for home in the H2H metric and a 65% Poisson probability, while season stats show St. Louis City’s solid home record (6 wins in 11 fixtures). Despite a 80% overall probability and some conflicting signals from last H2H when roles were reversed, the clear margin provides a value edge rated at 30% or above. This confluence of evidence makes the Home Win bet particularly attractive for value-focused punters.
80%
prob.
1.25
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Home Win
H2H: Home 100% vs Away 0%
80%
odds 1.25
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
Home record: 6 wins in 11 games
85%
odds 1.18
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
Head to Head
St. Louis City Toronto FC Toronto FC St. Louis City League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 25 | 15 | 49 |
| 2 |  Houston Dynamo | 26 | 13 | 44 |
| 3 | St. Louis City ● | 26 | 12 | 44 |
| 4 |  FC Dallas | 26 | 12 | 44 |
| 5 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 26 | 12 | 42 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 27 | 11 | 41 |
| 7 |  Colorado Rapids | 26 | 11 | 36 |
| 8 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 27 | 8 | 33 |
| 9 |  Portland Timbers | 26 | 9 | 32 |
| 10 |  San Diego | 25 | 8 | 30 |
| 11 |  Austin | 26 | 7 | 30 |
| 12 |  Real Salt Lake | 25 | 8 | 29 |
| 13 |  Seattle Sounders | 24 | 7 | 29 |
| 14 |  Minnesota United FC | 26 | 7 | 29 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 25 | 5 | 18 |
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 26 | 17 | 57 |
| 2 |  New England Revolution | 26 | 14 | 46 |
| 3 |  Inter Miami | 25 | 12 | 45 |
| 4 |  Charlotte | 26 | 12 | 43 |
| 5 |  Chicago Fire | 25 | 11 | 39 |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 26 | 10 | 36 |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 26 | 10 | 34 |
| 8 |  New York Red Bulls | 26 | 9 | 33 |
| 9 |  FC Cincinnati | 25 | 8 | 33 |
| 10 |  New York City FC | 26 | 8 | 32 |
| 11 |  DC United | 25 | 6 | 29 |
| 12 | Toronto FC ● | 26 | 6 | 29 |
| 13 |  Columbus Crew | 26 | 7 | 26 |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 26 | 7 | 26 |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 26 | 5 | 21 |
Betting Odds
Match Winner
St. Louis City
1.67
Draw
3.90
Toronto FC
4.75
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
1.48
Under 2.5
2.60
Both Teams Score
Yes
1.50
No
2.50
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