Football
Major League Soccer Major League Soccer
· Regular Season - 26
Sporting Kansas City

Sporting Kansas City

3–4

Full Time

Philadelphia Union

Philadelphia Union

🏟 Children's Mercy Park, Kansas City
🟡 E. Koroleva
📋 Regular Season - 26
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Philadelphia Union Win

3-Way Result

90%

confidence

Odds: 1.6 bookmaker Medium-High Risk

All major metrics favor Philadelphia Union with 76% form and 67% attacking stats compared to Sporting Kansas City’s 24% and 33%. The H2H data shows a 62% advantage for the away team and union’s last-5 form stands at an impressive 87%. Season stats indicate Philadelphia’s superior goal scoring and solid defense, further supporting their win. This convergence of 90% implied confidence makes the Union win a strong best bet candidate despite inherent match uncertainties.

Best Value

Philadelphia Union Win

3-Way Result

The value analysis also supports a Philadelphia Union win with a robust 90% probability when considering comparison metrics like 76% form and 67% attack, alongside H2H evidence favoring them 62% to 38%. With union’s recent 87% last-5 form and strong season scoring profiles, the value edge is notable. Although bookmaker odds of 1.60 imply an expected probability of 62.5%, the difference yields a calculated edge of roughly 27.5%. This convergence of evidence makes it the optimal value pick despite not being a full 30% edge.

90%

prob.

1.6

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Philadelphia Union Win

Away form at 76% vs home form at 24%

90%

odds 1.6

Double Chance

Draw/Away

Union’s last-5 form at 87% combined with 62% H2H advantage

92%

odds 1.18

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Sporting Kansas City
Sporting Kansas City
DLLLW
Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union
DDWLW

Current Standings

15
Sporting Kansas City
Sporting Kansas City
25 P 5 W 18 Pts
6
Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union
26 P 10 W 36 Pts

League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps
25 15 49
2
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo
26 13 44
3
St. Louis City St. Louis City
26 12 44
4
FC Dallas FC Dallas
26 12 44
5
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes
26 12 42
6
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC
27 11 41
7
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids
26 11 36
8
Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy
27 8 33
9
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
26 9 32
10
San Diego San Diego
25 8 30
11
Austin Austin
26 7 30
12
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake
25 8 29
13
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders
24 7 29
14
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC
26 7 29
15
Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City
25 5 18
1
Nashville SC Nashville SC
26 17 57
2
New England Revolution New England Revolution
26 14 46
3
Inter Miami Inter Miami
25 12 45
4
Charlotte Charlotte
26 12 43
5
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
25 11 39
6
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union
26 10 36
7
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC
26 10 34
8
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls
26 9 33
9
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati
25 8 33
10
New York City FC New York City FC
26 8 32
11
DC United DC United
25 6 29
12
Toronto FC Toronto FC
26 6 29
13
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew
26 7 26
14
Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC
26 7 26
15
CF Montreal CF Montreal
26 5 21
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation

Betting Odds

Match Winner

Sporting Kansas City

5.75

Draw

4.75

Philadelphia Union

1.48

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.40

Under 2.5

2.88

Both Teams Score

Yes

1.50

No

2.50

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