Football
Major League Soccer Major League Soccer
· Regular Season - 25
San Diego

San Diego

0–5

Full Time

Philadelphia Union

Philadelphia Union

🏟 Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego
🟡 I. Elfath
📋 Regular Season - 25
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Philadelphia Union Win

3-Way Result

80%

confidence

Odds: 2.4 bookmaker Medium Risk

The analysis shows strong away advantage since San Diego’s form is only 35% compared to Philadelphia Union’s 65%, and the last‐5 form further supports this with Union at 73% versus San Diego’s 40%. Season data also reflects this with Union’s higher attacking metrics and clean sheet records. Although the Poisson distribution slightly favors home at 61%, the overwhelming evidence from recent form and season stats gives us an 80% confidence in a Philadelphia Union win. A risk note is that conflicting Poisson signals add some uncertainty, but the convergence of multiple metrics makes this our highest confidence pick.

Best Value

Philadelphia Union Win

3-Way Result

The value assessment for a Philadelphia Union win in the 3-Way Result market is compelling; with our 80% probability versus the bookmaker’s implied probability of about 41.67% from odds of 2.40, the edge is over 38%. Comparison metrics (65% away form and 73% last-5 for Union) and season statistics heavily favor Philadelphia despite a slight Poisson contradiction. This convergence makes this bet not just the highest confidence pick, but also a value play given the substantial edge. The risk remains moderate due to the conflicting Poisson figure, but overall evidence supports a strong value.

80%

prob.

2.4

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Philadelphia Union Win

Away form at 65% vs Home form at 35%

80%

odds 2.4

Double Chance

San Diego or Philadelphia Union

Last-5 form difference: San Diego 40% vs Union 73%

90%

odds 1.25

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

San Diego
San Diego
WLWWW
Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union
No data

Current Standings

10
San Diego
San Diego
25 P 8 W 30 Pts
6
Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union
26 P 10 W 36 Pts
🏀 🎾 🏈

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