Football
A-League A-League
· Regular Season - 26
Newcastle Jets

Newcastle Jets

4–0

Full Time

Central Coast Mariners

Central Coast Mariners

🏟 McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle
🟡 C. Berg
📋 Regular Season - 26
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under

82%

confidence

Odds: 1.22 calculated Low Risk

The season stats indicate a strong low-scoring trend with Newcastle Jets under 2.5 occurring 17 times and Central Coast Mariners under 2.5 coming 21 times, supporting an Under 2.5 Goals outcome. Combined with the teams’ season goal averages (Jets at 2.2 and Mariners at 1.5), the likelihood of a low-scoring match is reinforced. H2H evidence also shows several matches with limited goals, and the comparison metrics under_over thresholds further back this view. Although some metrics like the overall attacking percentages suggest moderate scoring, the dominant under_over records lead us to favor under 2.5. Thus, we assign an 82% probability to this outcome. This makes it our best bet with minimal risk and consistent evidence.

Best Value

Away or Draw

Double Chance

The H2H data shows a strong away advantage with Central Coast Mariners at 62%, and the season stats for Mariners (with 21 instances under the under_over threshold for 2.5) indicate they tend to control games. Comparison metrics show a slight edge in favor of the home side, but the converging H2H evidence tilts the balance towards a result that avoids a home win. Offering a safety net, the Double Chance market covering Away or Draw reduces risk significantly. With an 80% probability and a calculated value edge of approximately 30%, this market stands out as optimal. The evidence converges from both H2H and season data, even though some metrics slightly conflict. Therefore, it qualifies as the best optimal value pick.

80%

prob.

1.25

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Away Win

H2H away win percentage stands at 62%

70%

odds 1.43

Double Chance

Away or Draw

Mariners' H2H advantage of 62% combined with 21 under 2.5 instances

80%

odds 1.25

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Newcastle Jets
Newcastle Jets
No data
Central Coast Mariners
Central Coast Mariners
DLDLD

Current Standings

1
Newcastle Jets
Newcastle Jets
26 P 15 W 48 Pts
9
Central Coast Mariners
Central Coast Mariners
26 P 8 W 32 Pts

Head to Head

25 Apr 26
Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets
4–0
Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners
H
28 Feb 26
Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners
0–0
Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets
D
19 Oct 25
Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners
3–2
Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets
H
12 Apr 25
Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets
6–0
Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners
H
1 Feb 25
Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners
2–2
Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets
D

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Adelaide United Adelaide United
0 0 0
2
Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners
0 0 0
3
Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets
0 0 0
4
Perth Glory Perth Glory
0 0 0
5
Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar
0 0 0
6
Sydney Sydney
0 0 0
7
Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix
0 0 0
8
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
0 0 0
9
Melbourne City Melbourne City
0 0 0
10
Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers
0 0 0
11
Macarthur Macarthur
0 0 0
12
Auckland Auckland
0 0 0
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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