Football
UEFA Europa Conference League UEFA Europa Conference League
· 1st Qualifying Round
Yelimay Semey

Yelimay Semey

1–1

Full Time

Alashkert

Alashkert

🏟 Stadion Spartak, Semey
🟡 A. Aptsiauri
📋 1st Qualifying Round
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Yes

BTTS

75%

confidence

Odds: 1.33 calculated Medium Risk

Our best bet is BTTS Yes with a predicted probability of 75%, as both teams average 1.0 goal and the only H2H match ended 1-1. The 1-1 scoreline coupled with balanced comparison metrics (both at 50%) supports our expectation that both teams will score. Despite limited fixtures, the recent draw suggests a tendency for both teams to find the net. We note that the data is balanced but the BTTS market offers a relatively clear indication. This selection carries moderate risk given the overall evenly matched profiles. It is our highest confidence pick among the markets.

Best Value

Yelimay Semey Win

Second Half Winner

The best optimal market is the Second Half Winner with a prediction of Yelimay Semey Win, given a value probability of 85% compared to the bookmaker implied probability of 52.4% from odds of 1.91. The significant gap is underlined by the fact that both teams share 33% form in their last 5 and are evenly matched at 50% in head-to-head metrics. This overperformance relative to the bookmaker's line suggests a strong value edge. While the H2H match ended 1-1, the potential for a stronger second half from the home side is supported by the data. We acknowledge some inherent risks due to minor discrepancies in season stats. Overall, the convergence of evidence offers an attractive value despite an overall balanced matchup.

85%

prob.

1.91

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Draw

H2H ended 1-1 and metrics are 50%

55%

odds 3.5

Double Chance

Yelimay Semey or Draw

Both teams recorded 1 draw in their league fixtures

65%

odds 1.1

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Yelimay Semey
Yelimay Semey
WWLLW
Alashkert
Alashkert
WWDDW

Head to Head

16 Jul 26
Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey
1–1
Alashkert Alashkert
A
9 Jul 26
Alashkert Alashkert
1–1
Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey
D

League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Strasbourg Strasbourg
6 5 16
2
Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa
6 4 14
3
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC
6 4 13
4
Sparta Praha Sparta Praha
6 4 13
5
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
6 4 13
6
Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk
6 4 13
7
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
6 4 13
8
AEK Larnaca AEK Larnaca
6 3 12
9
Lausanne Lausanne
6 3 11
10
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
6 3 10
11
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan
6 3 10
12
Samsunspor Samsunspor
6 3 10
13
Celje Celje
6 3 10
14
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
6 3 10
15
Fiorentina Fiorentina
6 3 9
16
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka
6 2 9
17
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia
6 2 9
18
Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia
6 2 8
19
FC Noah FC Noah
6 2 8
20
Drita Drita
6 2 8
21
KuPS KuPS
6 1 7
22
Shkendija Shkendija
6 2 7
23
Zrinjski Zrinjski
6 2 7
24
Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc
6 2 7
25
Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova
6 2 7
26
Lincoln Red Imps FC Lincoln Red Imps FC
6 2 7
27
Dynamo Kyiv Dynamo Kyiv
6 2 6
28
Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa
6 2 6
29
Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava
6 2 6
30
Breidablik Breidablik
6 1 5
31
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
6 1 4
32
BK Hacken BK Hacken
6 0 3
33
Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans
6 1 3
34
Shelbourne Shelbourne
6 0 2
35
Aberdeen Aberdeen
6 0 2
36
Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna
6 0 1
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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