Football
Segunda División Segunda División
· Semi-finals
Malaga

Malaga

vs

Not Started

Las Palmas

Las Palmas

🏟 Estadio La Rosaleda
📋 Semi-finals
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Home Win

3-Way Result

80%

confidence

Odds: 1.25 calculated Medium Risk

The 3-Way Result pick for a Home Win is supported by comparison metrics showing Malaga with 57% form, 62% attack and 64% defense versus Las Palmas’ 43%, 38%, and 36% respectively. H2H data further backs this with a 62% home advantage and three wins in their last encounters. Additionally, Malaga’s last-5 form at 87% and scoring average of 2.6 goals contribute to a positive outlook. Season stats underline a solid home performance with 12 wins and 7 draws out of 21 matches. The evidence is strong though not overwhelming, so a conservative 80% probability is applied. With no bookmaker odds provided, we use a fallback odds value of 1.25 (100/80).

Best Value

Home/Draw

Double Chance

Double Chance for Malaga (Home/Draw) shows a compelling value edge with a 90% implied success rate based on season home records of 12 wins and 7 draws out of 21 matches. Comparison metrics further support this with an overall 58.5% total home advantage and a H2H edge of 62% in favor of Malaga. The convergence of home form, possession statistics, and historical performance provides a robust signal. While there is some variability in scoring outcomes, the evidence is strong. A conservative probability of 90% is allocated, offering substantial value with a fallback odds rate of 1.11 and a value edge rating of 5.

90%

prob.

1.11

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Home Win

57% home form vs 43% away

80%

odds 1.25

Double Chance

Home/Draw

19 out of 21 home matches (90%)

90%

odds 1.11

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Malaga
Malaga
LLWDD
Las Palmas
Las Palmas
WWLWW

Current Standings

4
Malaga
Malaga
42 P 21 W 73 Pts
5
Las Palmas
Las Palmas
42 P 20 W 73 Pts

Head to Head

11 Apr 26
Malaga Malaga
2–0
Las Palmas Las Palmas
H
31 Aug 25
Las Palmas Las Palmas
0–1
Malaga Malaga
A
11 Mar 23
Las Palmas Las Palmas
2–2
Malaga Malaga
D
22 Aug 22
Malaga Malaga
0–4
Las Palmas Las Palmas
A
29 Apr 22
Las Palmas Las Palmas
2–1
Malaga Malaga
H

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Racing Santander Racing Santander
42 25 82
2
Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna
42 22 77
3
Almeria Almeria
42 22 74
4
Malaga Malaga
42 21 73
5
Las Palmas Las Palmas
42 20 73
6
Castellón Castellón
42 20 72
7
Burgos Burgos
42 20 72
8
Eibar Eibar
42 19 67
9
Cordoba Cordoba
42 17 61
10
Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon
42 18 61
11
AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC
42 17 61
12
Albacete Albacete
42 16 59
13
FC Andorra FC Andorra
42 16 58
14
Granada CF Granada CF
42 12 48
15
Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II
42 12 47
16
Leganes Leganes
42 11 46
17
Valladolid Valladolid
42 12 46
18
Cadiz Cadiz
42 11 43
19
Mirandes Mirandes
42 10 40
20
Huesca Huesca
42 9 38
21
Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa
42 9 37
22
Zaragoza Zaragoza
42 8 36
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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