Football
Segunda División Segunda División
· Semi-finals
Almeria

Almeria

vs

Not Started

Castellón

Castellón

📋 Semi-finals
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Away Win

3-Way Result

75%

confidence

Odds: 1.33 calculated Medium Risk

The 3-Way Result pick for an Away Win is supported by a strong H2H signal with a 71% advantage for the away team and a 73% edge in goal metrics. Although the Poisson favors home slightly at 57%, the historical head-to-head data and away goals percentage (73%) build a consistent case. Season data shows that even if Almeria is strong at home, Castellón’s away performances have been potent in previous clashes. This prediction is cautiously set at 75% probability acknowledging conflicting season and H2H stats. It remains subject to match day fluctuations with moderate risk.

Best Value

Away or Draw

Double Chance

The best value option is the Double Chance market with an Away or Draw outcome, converging evidence from H2H (71% for away) and season defensive stats (Castellón’s 58% defensive figure) that imply a high probability to avoid a home win. The adjusted probability is set at 85% given the strong historical trend and safety of a double chance bet. This option benefits from a broader outcome range, mitigating risk and offering an attractive value edge. Convergence between comparison metrics and H2H data underlines its appeal, albeit with typical match risks.

85%

prob.

1.18

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Away Win

H2H away advantage at 71% and goal metric 73% for away

75%

odds 1.33

Double Chance

Away or Draw

H2H away at 71% and defensive metric 58% for away

85%

odds 1.18

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Almeria
Almeria
WWLWL
Castellón
Castellón
WWDWW

Current Standings

3
Almeria
Almeria
42 P 22 W 74 Pts
6
Castellón
Castellón
42 P 20 W 72 Pts

Head to Head

2 Apr 26
Castellón Castellón
2–0
Almeria Almeria
H
26 Oct 25
Almeria Almeria
1–0
Castellón Castellón
H
18 Apr 25
Castellón Castellón
4–1
Almeria Almeria
H
16 Sept 24
Almeria Almeria
2–5
Castellón Castellón
A
30 Jan 21
Almeria Almeria
3–1
Castellón Castellón
H

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Racing Santander Racing Santander
42 25 82
2
Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna
42 22 77
3
Almeria Almeria
42 22 74
4
Malaga Malaga
42 21 73
5
Las Palmas Las Palmas
42 20 73
6
Castellón Castellón
42 20 72
7
Burgos Burgos
42 20 72
8
Eibar Eibar
42 19 67
9
Cordoba Cordoba
42 17 61
10
Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon
42 18 61
11
AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC
42 17 61
12
Albacete Albacete
42 16 59
13
FC Andorra FC Andorra
42 16 58
14
Granada CF Granada CF
42 12 48
15
Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II
42 12 47
16
Leganes Leganes
42 11 46
17
Valladolid Valladolid
42 12 46
18
Cadiz Cadiz
42 11 43
19
Mirandes Mirandes
42 10 40
20
Huesca Huesca
42 9 38
21
Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa
42 9 37
22
Zaragoza Zaragoza
42 8 36
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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