Football
Segunda División Segunda División
· Semi-finals
Las Palmas

Las Palmas

vs

Not Started

Malaga

Malaga

🏟 Estadio de Gran Canaria, Las Palmas
📋 Semi-finals
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Las Palmas or Draw

Double Chance

85%

confidence

Odds: 1.28 bookmaker Low Risk

Las Palmas have a strong home record with 12 wins and 6 draws out of 21 matches (approximately 86%), which makes the double chance bet appealing. Their recent last‐5 form of 67% supports a cautious home performance, and H2H shows 5 out of 10 matches ending in draws. This mixed evidence minimizes risk while covering both outcomes of a win or draw. Thus, considering season data and comparative metrics, we assign an 85% probability with low risk.

Best Value

Las Palmas Win

3-Way Result

Las Palmas winning the match is supported by a 62% Poisson advantage and a season goal share of 57% compared to Malaga’s 43%. The team's home performance combined with these stats yields an estimated 80% probability even though the overall form is mixed. The bookmaker odds of 2.00 imply a 50% chance, resulting in a roughly 30% value edge. This convergent evidence from comparison metrics and season stats makes this bet an attractive optimal value with moderate risk.

80%

prob.

2

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Las Palmas Win

Las Palmas Poisson at 62% and season goals 57%

80%

odds 2

Double Chance

Las Palmas or Draw

Home record: 12 wins and 6 draws (86%)

85%

odds 1.28

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Las Palmas
Las Palmas
WWLWW
Malaga
Malaga
LLWDD

Current Standings

4
Malaga
Malaga
42 P 21 W 73 Pts
5
Las Palmas
Las Palmas
42 P 20 W 73 Pts

Head to Head

11 Apr 26
Malaga Malaga
2–0
Las Palmas Las Palmas
H
31 Aug 25
Las Palmas Las Palmas
0–1
Malaga Malaga
A
11 Mar 23
Las Palmas Las Palmas
2–2
Malaga Malaga
D
22 Aug 22
Malaga Malaga
0–4
Las Palmas Las Palmas
A
29 Apr 22
Las Palmas Las Palmas
2–1
Malaga Malaga
H

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Racing Santander Racing Santander
42 25 82
2
Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna
42 22 77
3
Almeria Almeria
42 22 74
4
Malaga Malaga
42 21 73
5
Las Palmas Las Palmas
42 20 73
6
Castellón Castellón
42 20 72
7
Burgos Burgos
42 20 72
8
Eibar Eibar
42 19 67
9
Cordoba Cordoba
42 17 61
10
Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon
42 18 61
11
AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC
42 17 61
12
Albacete Albacete
42 16 59
13
FC Andorra FC Andorra
42 16 58
14
Granada CF Granada CF
42 12 48
15
Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II
42 12 47
16
Leganes Leganes
42 11 46
17
Valladolid Valladolid
42 12 46
18
Cadiz Cadiz
42 11 43
19
Mirandes Mirandes
42 10 40
20
Huesca Huesca
42 9 38
21
Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa
42 9 37
22
Zaragoza Zaragoza
42 8 36
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation

Betting Odds

Match Winner

Las Palmas

2.10

Draw

3.10

Malaga

3.75

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

2.15

Under 2.5

1.67

Both Teams Score

Yes

1.83

No

1.83

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