Football
Friendlies Friendlies
· Friendly International
Tajikistan

Tajikistan

3–1

Full Time

India

India

🏟 Hisor Central Stadium, Hisor
📋 Friendly International
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

India Win

3-Way Result

85%

confidence

Odds: 5.75 bookmaker Medium-High Risk

The analysis strongly leans towards an India win based on multiple metrics. The head-to-head comparison shows India at 80% versus Tajikistan’s 20%, and the goals metric favors India with 67% compared to Tajikistan’s 33%. This is further supported by the overall away total of 73.5% versus home 26.5%, and the previous H2H match ending in a 1-2 scoreline. Although Tajikistan has a solid 100% defensive marker from the comparison data, the convergence of evidence slightly favors India. Season data indicates India’s recent defensive struggles with a 73% last-5 defensive rate, adding risk. However, multiple independent parameters align to support the India win outcome. Overall, confidence is set at 85% with a careful risk assessment.

Best Value

Draw/Away

Double Chance

The Double Chance market appears to have substantial value given the convergence of high India win metrics. With India’s win predicted at 85% probability and comparison data favoring an away outcome at 73.5%, a Double Chance bet of Draw/Away increases coverage while maintaining a high likelihood. The bookmaker odds of 2.25 provide an estimated edge as the implied probability from odds is about 44%, offering a significant edge compared to our estimated 85%. Additionally, head-to-head history and overall goals metrics align with a robust away performance. This option presents a value edge above 30% while mitigating risk, though inherent uncertainties remain. Confidence is solid at 85% probability with a value rating of 5.

85%

prob.

2.25

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

India Win

H2H: India 80% vs Tajikistan 20%

85%

odds 5.75

Double Chance

Draw/Away

Overall: Away 73.5% vs Home 26.5%

90%

odds 2.25

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Tajikistan
Tajikistan
WDWLD
India
India
LWLDW

Head to Head

5 Jun 26
Tajikistan Tajikistan
3–1
India India
H
29 Aug 25
Tajikistan Tajikistan
1–2
India India
A
30 Mar 20
India India
0–0
Tajikistan Tajikistan
D

Betting Odds

Match Winner

Tajikistan

1.53

Draw

3.80

India

6.00

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

2.08

Under 2.5

1.73

Both Teams Score

Yes

2.10

No

1.67

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