Football
J1 League J1 League
· 17th place
Mito Hollyhock

Mito Hollyhock

vs

Not Started

V-varen Nagasaki

V-varen Nagasaki

🏟 Best Denki Stadium, Mito
📋 17th place
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Under 2.5

Goals Over/Under

90%

confidence

Odds: 1.11 calculated Low Risk

The strongest signal comes from the Goals Over/Under market where both teams historically favor low scoring matches. Mito Hollyhock’s home matches showed 0 overs in 18 instances and V-varen Nagasaki registered 16 unders out of 18 away games. Comparison metrics indicate home under pressure with 44.3% overall and away at 55.7%, further supporting a low total. H2H results also feature several games with less than 3 goals, and season averages of 0.8 for Mito and 1.6 for Nagasaki underscore limited scoring. This convergence gives us a 90% confidence in an Under 2.5 Goals outcome. The risk is low given consistent under performance. We are thus very confident in this choice.

Best Value

Under 2.5

Goals Over/Under

Value analysis reinforces Under 2.5 Goals as the best option with a significant edge. With home teams recording 0 overs in 18 matches and the away side showing 16 unders from 18 games, the likelihood of a low-scoring match is high. Comparison metrics and H2H evidence both lean towards limited scoring, with season attack and defense stats reinforcing this trend. This option carries a strong 90% probability and a value edge estimated at or above 30%. The convergence of evidence from both teams’ performance supports this pick. Hence, it represents the optimal value play.

90%

prob.

1.11

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Away Win

Away form at 67% vs Home form at 33%

75%

odds 1.33

Double Chance

Away/Draw

Away fixtures: 7 wins out of 18 vs Home 4 wins out of 18

80%

odds 1.25

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Mito Hollyhock
Mito Hollyhock
WLLWW
V-varen Nagasaki
V-varen Nagasaki
LWLLL

Current Standings

9
Mito Hollyhock
Mito Hollyhock
18 P 6 W 18 Pts
9
V-varen Nagasaki
V-varen Nagasaki
18 P 7 W 21 Pts

Head to Head

30 May 26
V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki
1–0
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock
H
23 Nov 25
V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki
2–1
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock
H
31 May 25
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock
3–0
V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki
H
3 Aug 24
V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki
1–2
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock
A
2 Jun 24
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock
2–3
V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki
A

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Kashima Kashima
38 23 76
2
Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol
38 21 75
3
Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga
38 19 68
4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima
38 20 68
5
Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe
38 18 64
6
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
38 17 60
7
Urawa Urawa
38 16 59
8
Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale
38 15 57
9
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka
38 17 57
10
Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka
38 14 52
11
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo
38 13 50
12
Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka
38 12 48
13
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama
38 12 45
14
Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse
38 11 44
15
Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos
38 12 43
16
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus
38 11 43
17
Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy
38 11 43
18
Yokohama FC Yokohama FC
38 9 35
19
Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare
38 8 32
20
Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata
38 4 24
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation

Betting Odds

Match Winner

Mito Hollyhock

2.20

Draw

3.40

V-varen Nagasaki

3.20

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

2.15

Under 2.5

1.67

Both Teams Score

Yes

1.83

No

1.83

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